FC OSS vs Helmond Sport Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

FC OSS
Oct 09, 2026 - 18:00
1.45 1.28
Helmond Sport
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
6 / 6 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

FC OSS opened at -0.25 against Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.15
FC OSS -0.15

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
FC OSS -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.10
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.10 AH points more toward Helmond Sport than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Helmond Sport +0.25
@ 2.69
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.10
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.89
Price Advantage
+42.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.85 / 2.46 -0.25 1.82 / 2.49 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.93 / 2.69 -0.25 1.92 / 2.69 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.78 / 2.85 -0.25 1.90 / 2.60 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.89 / 2.46 -0.25 1.86 / 2.49 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.93 / 2.60 -0.25 1.88 / 2.60 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.85 / 2.53 -0.25 1.85 / 2.53 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.15
xG 1.45 / 1.28 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.92
FC OSS @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.12
FC OSS @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.92 vs 2.12
Market price is 9.4% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.75 7.40
-1.50 3.78 5.75
-1.25 3.42 5.35
-1.00 3.05 4.95
-0.75 2.41 3.50
-0.25 1.86 2.49
0 1.60 2.21
+0.25 1.43 1.85
+0.75 1.22 1.45
+1.00 1.11 1.28
+1.25 1.09 1.23
+1.50 1.07 1.19
+1.75 1.03 1.12

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.90 6.00
-1.25 3.55 5.75
-1.00 3.10 5.25
-0.75 2.50 3.55
-0.50 2.15 3.00
-0.25 1.90 2.60
0 1.62 2.25
+0.25 1.48 1.90
+0.50 1.38 1.68
+0.75 1.27 1.50
+1.00 1.16 1.35
+1.25 1.14 1.27
+1.50 1.12 1.24

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.85 2.53
0 1.59 2.17
+0.25 1.44 1.82

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.88 2.60
+0.25 1.47 1.88

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.75 7.40
-1.50 3.78 5.75
-1.25 3.42 5.35
-1.00 3.05 4.95
-0.75 2.41 3.50
-0.25 1.82 2.49
0 1.60 2.21
+0.25 1.43 1.81
+0.75 1.22 1.45
+1.00 1.11 1.28
+1.25 1.09 1.23
+1.50 1.07 1.19
+1.75 1.03 1.12

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.58 3.85
-0.50 2.20 3.07
-0.25 1.92 2.69
0 1.62 2.30
+0.25 1.46 1.90
+0.50 1.36 1.67
+0.75 1.25 1.50
Primary Bets
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