FC Volendam vs Vitesse Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

FC Volendam
Oct 09, 2026 - 18:00 1H
0 2.09
0 1.60
Vitesse
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
-0.25
PRE1 consensus
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
+0.25
Toward Away · Opening → Current

Asian Handicap Market Summary

FC Volendam opened at -0.25 against Vitesse in the Eerste Divisie. The current market consensus is 0. The closing line is -0.25. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Vitesse from the opening line. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.46
FC Volendam -0.46

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
FC Volendam 0
Model–Market Gap
0.46
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.46 AH points more toward FC Volendam than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
FC Volendam 0
@ 1.85
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.46
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.60
Price Advantage
+15.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.88 / 2.35 0 1.79 / 1.93 — +0.25
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.95 / 2.53 0 1.85 / 2.00 — +0.25
Bet365 0 1.70 / 2.10 0 1.85 / 1.95 -0.25 0
1xBet -0.25 1.92 / 2.35 0 1.79 / 1.93 -0.25 +0.25
Betano -0.25 1.93 / 2.50 -0.25 2.05 / 2.30 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.74 / 1.94 0 1.77 / 1.90 -0.25 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.46
xG 2.09 / 1.60 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Closing consensus
Market Odds
2.05
FC Volendam @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.82
FC Volendam @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.05 vs 1.82
Market price is 12.6% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.50 8.10
-2.00 7.70 8.70
-1.75 5.29 5.90
-1.50 4.15 4.60
-1.25 3.78 4.20
-1.00 3.34 3.82
-0.75 2.62 2.88
-0.25 2.05 2.15
0 1.79 1.93
+0.25 1.57 1.70
+0.75 1.32 1.38
+1.00 1.19 1.24
+1.25 1.15 1.19
+1.50 1.13 1.16
+1.75 1.07 1.09

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.75 5.90
-1.50 4.40 4.50
-1.25 4.00 4.15
-1.00 3.55 3.80
-0.75 2.85 3.00
-0.50 2.38 2.50
-0.25 2.15 2.25
0 1.85 1.95
+0.25 1.62 1.68
+0.50 1.50 1.55
+0.75 1.38 1.40
+1.00 1.25 1.27
+1.25 1.22 1.23
+1.50 1.19 1.20
+1.75 1.13 1.14

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.28 2.44
-0.25 2.03 2.18
0 1.77 1.90
+0.25 1.58 1.67
+0.50 1.47 1.54

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.35 2.52
-0.25 2.05 2.30
+0.25 1.60 1.75
+0.50 1.50 1.57

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 7.70 8.70
-1.75 5.30 5.90
-1.50 4.15 4.60
-1.25 3.78 4.20
-1.00 3.34 3.82
-0.75 2.62 2.88
-0.25 2.00 2.15
0 1.79 1.93
+0.25 1.57 1.66
+0.75 1.32 1.38
+1.00 1.19 1.24
+1.25 1.15 1.19
+1.50 1.13 1.16
+1.75 1.07 1.09

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.49 4.00
-0.75 2.77 3.05
-0.50 2.38 2.56
-0.25 2.12 2.28
0 1.85 2.00
+0.25 1.65 1.75
+0.50 1.53 1.60
+0.75 1.39 1.45
+1.00 1.25 1.31
Primary Bets
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