Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Jong Utrecht
Sep 18, 2026 - 18:00
1.54 1.79
VVV Venlo
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Jong Utrecht opened at 0 against VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.23
Jong Utrecht +0.23

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Jong Utrecht 0
Model–Market Gap
0.23
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.23 AH points more toward VVV Venlo than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
VVV Venlo 0
@ 1.98
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.23
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.76
Price Advantage
+12.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 2.00 / 1.73 0 1.84 / 1.87 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.83 / 1.98 0 1.83 / 1.98 — 0
Bet365 0 2.08 / 1.72 0 2.08 / 1.72 — 0
1xBet 0 1.87 / 1.83 0 1.84 / 1.87 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.37 / 2.02 -0.25 2.18 / 2.18 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.99 / 1.70 0 1.86 / 1.81 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.23
xG 1.54 / 1.79 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.83
Jong Utrecht @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.31
Jong Utrecht @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.83 vs 2.31
Market price is 20.8% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.00 9.00
-2.00 8.70 8.90
-1.75 5.85 6.00
-1.50 4.55 4.65
-1.25 4.14 4.25
-1.00 3.74 3.84
-0.75 2.83 2.87
-0.25 2.13 2.12
0 1.84 1.87
+0.25 1.59 1.64
+0.75 1.32 1.33
+1.00 1.18 1.19
+1.25 1.15 1.16
+1.50 1.12 1.13
+1.75 1.06 1.07
+2.50 1.02 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.80 5.50
-1.50 5.25 4.10
-1.25 4.65 3.70
-1.00 4.25 3.45
-0.75 3.30 2.68
-0.50 2.68 2.30
-0.25 2.38 2.02
0 2.08 1.72
+0.25 1.78 1.55
+0.50 1.60 1.45
+0.75 1.45 1.32
+1.00 1.30 1.21
+1.25 1.26 1.18
+1.50 1.23 1.16
+1.75 1.15 1.10

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.43 2.36
-0.25 2.15 2.09
0 1.86 1.81
+0.25 1.64 1.60
+0.50 1.50 1.47

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.47 2.45
-0.25 2.18 2.18
+0.25 1.67 1.65
+0.50 1.53 1.52

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.20 8.50
-2.00 8.70 8.90
-1.75 5.85 6.00
-1.50 4.55 4.65
-1.25 4.15 4.25
-1.00 3.74 3.84
-0.75 2.83 2.88
-0.25 2.08 2.12
0 1.84 1.87
+0.25 1.59 1.61
+0.75 1.32 1.33
+1.00 1.18 1.19
+1.25 1.15 1.16
+1.50 1.12 1.13
+1.75 1.06 1.07

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.79 4.10
-0.75 2.89 3.14
-0.50 2.43 2.64
-0.25 2.13 2.31
0 1.83 1.98
+0.25 1.60 1.70
+0.50 1.47 1.54
+0.75 1.34 1.39
+1.00 1.22 1.25
Primary Bets
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