FC Eindhoven vs Emmen Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

FC Eindhoven
Sep 18, 2026 - 18:00
1.37 2.24
Emmen
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
6 / 6 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

FC Eindhoven opened at -0.25 against Emmen in the Eerste Divisie. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.83
FC Eindhoven +0.83

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
FC Eindhoven -0.25
Model–Market Gap
1.08
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 1.08 AH points more toward Emmen than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Emmen +0.25
@ 1.90
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
1.08
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.34
Price Advantage
+41.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.55 / 1.79 -0.25 2.49 / 1.81 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.68 / 1.86 -0.25 2.63 / 1.89 — 0
Bet365 0 2.02 / 1.78 -0.25 2.50 / 1.90 — -0.25
1xBet -0.25 2.60 / 1.79 -0.25 2.54 / 1.81 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.60 / 1.85 -0.25 2.60 / 1.85 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.54 / 1.80 -0.25 2.50 / 1.83 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.83
xG 1.37 / 2.24 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.63
FC Eindhoven @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
3.94
FC Eindhoven @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.63 vs 3.94
Market price is 33.2% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.60 6.30
-1.75 7.19 4.50
-1.50 5.50 3.58
-1.25 5.15 3.28
-1.00 4.75 2.92
-0.75 3.42 2.35
-0.25 2.54 1.81
0 2.21 1.60
+0.25 1.82 1.46
+0.75 1.47 1.23
+1.00 1.31 1.12
+1.25 1.25 1.10
+1.50 1.21 1.08
+1.75 1.13 1.03

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.25 4.65
-1.50 5.75 3.70
-1.25 5.25 3.45
-1.00 4.65 3.10
-0.75 3.45 2.42
-0.50 2.85 2.10
-0.25 2.50 1.90
0 2.25 1.62
+0.25 1.90 1.50
+0.50 1.70 1.40
+0.75 1.52 1.30
+1.00 1.35 1.18
+1.25 1.30 1.16
+1.50 1.26 1.14
+1.75 1.18 1.12

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.50 1.83
0 2.17 1.59
+0.25 1.84 1.45

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.60 1.85
+0.25 1.91 1.47

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.20 4.50
-1.50 5.50 3.58
-1.25 5.15 3.28
-1.00 4.75 2.92
-0.75 3.42 2.35
-0.25 2.49 1.81
0 2.21 1.60
+0.25 1.82 1.43
+0.75 1.47 1.23
+1.00 1.31 1.12
+1.25 1.25 1.10
+1.50 1.21 1.08
+1.75 1.13 1.03

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.66 2.49
-0.50 2.97 2.15
-0.25 2.63 1.89
0 2.27 1.62
+0.25 1.91 1.47
+0.50 1.69 1.38
+0.75 1.52 1.27
Primary Bets
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