Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Zemplín Michalovce
Oct 18, 2026 - 13:30
1.25 1.33
FK Košice
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Zemplín Michalovce opened at -0.25 against FK Košice in the Super Liga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.07
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Zemplín Michalovce -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.32
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.32 AH points more toward FK Košice than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
FK Košice +0.25
@ 1.90
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.32
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.67
Price Advantage
+13.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.43 / 1.82 -0.25 2.43 / 1.82 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.61 / 1.90 -0.25 2.61 / 1.90 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.48 / 1.82 -0.25 2.48 / 1.82 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.07
xG 1.25 / 1.33 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.61
Zemplín Michalovce @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.49
Zemplín Michalovce @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.61 vs 2.49
Market price is 4.8% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.90 6.55
-1.75 7.10 4.64
-1.50 5.45 3.68
-1.25 5.05 3.28
-1.00 4.65 2.97
-0.75 3.34 2.35
-0.25 2.48 1.82
0 2.18 1.62
+0.25 1.82 1.48
+0.75 1.47 1.24
+1.00 1.30 1.12
+1.25 1.25 1.10
+1.50 1.20 1.08
+1.75 1.12 1.04

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.10 4.65
-1.50 5.45 3.68
-1.25 5.05 3.28
-1.00 4.65 2.97
-0.75 3.34 2.35
-0.25 2.43 1.82
0 2.18 1.62
+0.25 1.82 1.45
+0.75 1.47 1.24
+1.00 1.30 1.12
+1.25 1.25 1.10
+1.50 1.20 1.08
+1.75 1.12 1.04

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.63 2.51
-0.50 2.95 2.16
-0.25 2.61 1.90
0 2.26 1.63
+0.25 1.90 1.48
+0.50 1.68 1.38
+0.75 1.51 1.27
Primary Bets
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