Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Vendsyssel FF
Oct 11, 2026 - 12:00
1.31 1.29
HB Koge
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Vendsyssel FF opened at -0.25 against HB Koge in the 1. Division. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.02
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Vendsyssel FF -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.23
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.23 AH points more toward HB Koge than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
HB Koge +0.25
@ 2.73
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.23
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.75
Price Advantage
+56.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.89 / 2.44 -0.25 1.89 / 2.44 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.92 / 2.73 -0.25 1.92 / 2.73 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.95 / 2.60 -0.25 1.95 / 2.60 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.93 / 2.47 -0.25 1.93 / 2.47 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.93 / 2.62 -0.25 1.93 / 2.62 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.59 / 2.17 0 1.60 / 2.15 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.02
xG 1.31 / 1.29 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.92
Vendsyssel FF @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.33
Vendsyssel FF @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.92 vs 2.33
Market price is 17.6% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.70 8.50
-1.50 4.33 6.20
-1.25 3.92 5.72
-1.00 3.42 5.20
-0.75 2.59 3.53
-0.25 1.93 2.47
0 1.64 2.14
+0.25 1.46 1.79
+0.75 1.23 1.42
+1.00 1.10 1.23
+1.25 1.08 1.18
+1.50 1.06 1.14

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.25 6.40
-1.25 3.80 5.90
-1.00 3.45 5.50
-0.75 2.60 3.70
-0.50 2.20 3.00
-0.25 1.95 2.60
0 1.62 2.25
+0.25 1.48 1.85
+0.50 1.38 1.65
+0.75 1.26 1.48
+1.00 1.15 1.30
+1.25 1.13 1.25
+1.50 1.12 1.21

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.60 2.15

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.93 2.62
+0.25 1.47 1.85

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.70 8.50
-1.50 4.33 6.20
-1.25 3.90 5.70
-1.00 3.42 5.20
-0.75 2.56 3.50
-0.25 1.89 2.44
0 1.64 2.14
+0.25 1.44 1.75
+0.75 1.22 1.40
+1.00 1.10 1.23
+1.25 1.08 1.18
+1.50 1.06 1.14

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.63 3.98
-0.50 2.22 3.14
-0.25 1.92 2.73
0 1.61 2.30
+0.25 1.45 1.88
+0.50 1.35 1.65
+0.75 1.24 1.48
Primary Bets
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