Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Club Queretaro
Oct 10, 2026 - 23:00
1.56 1.22
Atlante FC
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Club Queretaro opened at -0.25 against Atlante FC in the Liga MX. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.31
Club Queretaro -0.31

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Club Queretaro -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.06
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.06 AH points more toward Club Queretaro than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Atlante FC +0.25
@ 3.15
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.06
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.07
Price Advantage
+52.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.68 / 2.95 -0.25 1.72 / 2.90 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.83 / 3.15 -0.25 1.83 / 3.15 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.75 / 3.00 -0.25 1.80 / 2.85 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.72 / 2.95 -0.25 1.76 / 2.90 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.78 / 3.10 -0.25 1.78 / 3.10 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.71 / 2.86 -0.50 2.01 / 3.15 — -0.25
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.31
xG 1.56 / 1.22 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.83
Club Queretaro @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.94
Club Queretaro @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.83 vs 1.94
Market price is 5.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.58 7.50
-1.25 3.28 7.08
-1.00 2.88 6.55
-0.75 2.28 4.30
-0.25 1.76 2.90
0 1.47 2.51
+0.25 1.32 1.96
+0.75 1.15 1.50
+1.00 1.05 1.32
+1.25 1.04 1.25
+1.50 1.03 1.21

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.80 7.00
-1.25 3.45 6.60
-1.00 3.00 6.00
-0.75 2.38 4.10
-0.50 2.08 3.30
-0.25 1.80 2.85
0 1.52 2.42
+0.25 1.40 2.00
+0.50 1.32 1.72
+0.75 1.23 1.55
+1.00 1.12 1.38
+1.25 1.11 1.30
+1.50 1.10 1.25

BetVictor Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.01 3.15
-0.25 1.76 2.76
0 1.50 2.36
+0.25 1.37 1.92
+0.50 1.29 1.69

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.12 3.40
-0.25 1.78 3.10
+0.25 1.39 2.10
+0.50 1.34 1.75

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.58 7.50
-1.25 3.28 7.10
-1.00 2.88 6.55
-0.75 2.28 4.30
-0.25 1.72 2.90
0 1.47 2.51
+0.25 1.32 1.92
+0.75 1.15 1.50
+1.00 1.05 1.32
+1.25 1.04 1.25
+1.50 1.03 1.21

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.51 4.73
-0.50 2.14 3.65
-0.25 1.83 3.15
0 1.51 2.62
+0.25 1.37 2.03
+0.50 1.29 1.74
+0.75 1.20 1.55
Primary Bets
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