Parma vs Torino Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Parma
Oct 19, 2026 - 18:45
0.72 1.67
Torino
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 6 books · 50% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Parma opened at -0.25 against Torino in the Serie A. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 6 valid books, with 50% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.88
Parma +0.88

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Parma -0.25
Model–Market Gap
1.13
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 6 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 1.13 AH points more toward Torino than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Torino +0.25
@ 2.17
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
1.13
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.22
Price Advantage
+77.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 6 valid books · 50% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.54 / 2.00 -0.25 2.54 / 2.00 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.18 / 1.77 0 2.18 / 1.77 — 0
Bet365 0 2.10 / 1.70 0 2.10 / 1.70 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.69 / 2.00 -0.25 2.69 / 2.00 — 0
Betano -0.50 3.05 / 2.50 -0.50 3.05 / 2.50 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.47 / 2.01 -0.25 2.47 / 2.01 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.88
xG 0.72 / 1.67 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.54
Parma @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
5.56
Parma @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.54 vs 5.56
Market price is 54.3% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.80 6.19
-1.50 6.55 4.80
-1.25 6.19 4.37
-1.00 5.75 3.84
-0.75 3.74 2.79
-0.25 2.69 2.00
0 2.25 1.75
+0.25 1.74 1.56
+0.75 1.37 1.23
+1.00 1.21 1.10
+1.25 1.15 1.08
+1.50 1.12 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.80 5.25
-1.25 6.25 4.50
-1.00 5.75 4.00
-0.75 3.70 2.85
-0.50 2.85 2.35
-0.25 2.50 2.10
0 2.10 1.70
+0.25 1.78 1.50
+0.50 1.58 1.40
+0.75 1.40 1.26
+1.00 1.23 1.14
+1.25 1.19 1.12
+1.50 1.16 1.10

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.70 2.91
-0.50 2.87 2.34
-0.25 2.47 2.01
0 2.05 1.66
+0.25 1.69 1.46
+0.50 1.51 1.35
+0.75 1.34 1.22

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 3.05 2.50
+0.50 1.57 1.40

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.50 6.20
-1.50 6.55 4.80
-1.25 6.15 4.40
-1.00 5.75 3.84
-0.75 3.74 2.81
-0.25 2.54 2.00
0 2.17 1.69
+0.25 1.74 1.47
+0.75 1.38 1.23
+1.00 1.21 1.10
+1.25 1.16 1.08
+1.50 1.12 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 6.33 4.59
-0.75 4.07 3.19
-0.50 3.16 2.58
-0.25 2.67 2.17
0 2.18 1.77
+0.25 1.76 1.53
+0.50 1.55 1.40
+0.75 1.38 1.27
+1.00 1.22 1.14
Primary Bets
More