AS Roma vs Inter Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

AS Roma
Final Score
2 – 2
(HT 2-0)
Inter
Kick-off 16:00 Stadium Stadio Olimpico

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

AS Roma opened at 0 against Inter in the Serie A. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 7 valid books, with 71% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.30
AS Roma -0.30

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

xG (pre-match) 1.54 / 1.21
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
AS Roma 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 7 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.30
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.30 AH points more toward AS Roma than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
AS Roma 0
@ 2.02
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.30
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.67
Price Advantage
+21.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 7 valid books · 71% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
03:52
Opening
0
13:22
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 3 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.89 / 1.91 0 1.97 / 1.87 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.93 / 1.98 0 2.02 / 1.91 — 0
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25 1.68 / 1.63 +0.25 1.66 / 1.63 — 0
Bet365 0 1.92 / 1.92 0 2.02 / 1.82 — 0
1xBet 0 1.96 / 1.98 0 2.02 / 1.92 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.67 / 1.67 +0.25 1.70 / 1.67 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.82 / 1.86 0 1.92 / 1.75 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 11.00 9.00
-2.00 9.20 8.40
-1.75 6.38 5.81
-1.50 5.00 4.60
-1.25 4.63 4.22
-1.00 4.25 3.88
-0.75 3.12 2.94
-0.25 2.38 2.16
0 2.02 1.92
+0.25 1.66 1.68
+0.75 1.36 1.33
+1.00 1.22 1.19
+1.25 1.17 1.16
+1.50 1.15 1.13
+1.75 1.08 1.07

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.40 6.25
-1.50 5.00 4.80
-1.25 4.50 4.40
-1.00 4.10 4.00
-0.75 3.10 3.00
-0.50 2.60 2.50
-0.25 2.25 2.20
0 2.02 1.82
+0.25 1.65 1.62
+0.50 1.50 1.48
+0.75 1.38 1.35
+1.00 1.23 1.23
+1.25 1.20 1.19
+1.50 1.18 1.17
+1.75 1.12 1.12

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.25 3.70
-0.75 3.10 2.77
-0.50 2.53 2.31
-0.25 2.23 2.04
0 1.92 1.75
+0.25 1.67 1.56
+0.50 1.52 1.44
+0.75 1.37 1.30
+1.00 1.22 1.17

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.15 3.10
-0.50 2.60 2.57
-0.25 2.27 2.22
+0.25 1.70 1.67
+0.50 1.53 1.53
+0.75 1.39 1.38

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.70 9.00
-2.00 9.20 8.40
-1.75 6.35 5.85
-1.50 4.95 4.60
-1.25 4.60 4.25
-1.00 4.25 3.88
-0.75 3.12 2.96
-0.25 2.27 2.16
0 1.97 1.87
+0.25 1.66 1.60
+0.75 1.36 1.33
+1.00 1.22 1.19
+1.25 1.18 1.16
+1.50 1.15 1.13
+1.75 1.08 1.07

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.63 4.24
-0.75 3.38 3.17
-0.50 2.78 2.64
-0.25 2.40 2.27
0 2.02 1.91
+0.25 1.71 1.65
+0.50 1.54 1.50
+0.75 1.40 1.36
+1.00 1.26 1.23

SBO Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.33 2.28
+0.25 1.66 1.63
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

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