Llaneros vs Santa Fe Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Llaneros
Oct 18, 2026 - 23:05
0.88 1.10
Santa Fe
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Llaneros opened at 0 against Santa Fe in the Primera A. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.19
Llaneros +0.19

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Llaneros 0
Model–Market Gap
0.19
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.19 AH points more toward Santa Fe than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Santa Fe 0
@ 1.90
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.19
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.71
Price Advantage
+11.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.86 / 1.86 0 1.92 / 1.80 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.98 / 1.83 0 1.98 / 1.83 — 0
Bet365 0 1.90 / 1.90 0 1.90 / 1.90 — 0
1xBet 0 1.86 / 1.86 0 1.92 / 1.80 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.62 / 2.62 -0.50 2.60 / 2.60 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.19
xG 0.88 / 1.10 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.98
Llaneros @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.40
Llaneros @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.98 vs 2.40
Market price is 17.5% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.75 7.65
-1.50 5.80 5.30
-1.25 5.30 4.80
-1.00 4.80 4.30
-0.75 3.20 2.97
-0.25 2.28 2.08
0 1.92 1.80
+0.25 1.61 1.57
+0.75 1.30 1.26
+1.00 1.14 1.12
+1.25 1.12 1.09
+1.50 1.09 1.07
+1.75 1.04 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.90 5.90
-1.25 5.50 5.50
-1.00 4.65 4.65
-0.75 3.30 3.30
-0.50 2.60 2.60
-0.25 2.25 2.25
0 1.90 1.90
+0.25 1.62 1.62
+0.50 1.48 1.48
+0.75 1.32 1.32
+1.00 1.18 1.18
+1.25 1.15 1.15
+1.50 1.13 1.13

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.60 2.60
+0.50 1.47 1.47

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.80 7.10
-1.50 5.80 5.30
-1.25 5.30 4.80
-1.00 4.80 4.30
-0.75 3.20 2.97
-0.25 2.23 2.08
0 1.92 1.80
+0.25 1.61 1.53
+0.75 1.30 1.26
+1.00 1.14 1.12
+1.25 1.11 1.09
+1.50 1.09 1.07
+1.75 1.04 1.02

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 5.13 4.53
-0.75 3.51 3.20
-0.50 2.80 2.58
-0.25 2.40 2.20
0 1.98 1.83
+0.25 1.66 1.56
+0.50 1.49 1.43
+0.75 1.34 1.29
+1.00 1.20 1.16
Primary Bets
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