Quindio vs Real Cartagena Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Quindio
Oct 16, 2026 - 01:00
1.25 1.35
Real Cartagena
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Quindio opened at 0 against Real Cartagena in the Primera B. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Quindio 0
Model–Market Gap
0.09
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.09 AH points more toward Real Cartagena than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Real Cartagena 0
@ 2.09
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.09
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.88
Price Advantage
+11.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.96 / 1.71 0 1.70 / 1.98 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.73 / 2.09 0 1.73 / 2.09 — 0
Bet365 0 1.98 / 1.82 0 1.98 / 1.82 — 0
1xBet 0 1.96 / 1.71 0 1.70 / 1.98 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.09
xG 1.25 / 1.35 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.73
Quindio @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.14
Quindio @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.73 vs 2.14
Market price is 19.2% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.60 10.00
-2.00 8.50 9.10
-1.75 6.95 8.70
-1.50 5.15 6.40
-1.25 4.64 5.80
-1.00 4.10 5.25
-0.75 2.83 3.42
-0.25 2.01 2.33
0 1.70 1.98
+0.25 1.48 1.68
+0.75 1.23 1.33
+1.00 1.09 1.16
+1.25 1.07 1.12
+1.50 1.05 1.10
+2.00 1.02 1.03

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.98 1.82

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.95 8.70
-1.50 5.15 6.40
-1.25 4.65 5.80
-1.00 4.10 5.25
-0.75 2.83 3.42
-0.25 1.99 2.33
0 1.70 1.98
+0.25 1.48 1.66
+0.75 1.23 1.33
+1.00 1.09 1.16
+1.25 1.07 1.12
+1.50 1.05 1.10

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.39 2.84
-0.25 2.08 2.46
0 1.73 2.09
+0.25 1.52 1.76
+0.50 1.40 1.57
Primary Bets
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