Barranquilla vs Tigres FC Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Barranquilla
Final Score
2 – 2
(HT 2-0)
Tigres FC
Kick-off 21:00 Stadium Estadio Romelio Martinez

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Barranquilla opened at 0 against Tigres FC in the Primera B. The current market consensus is 0. The closing line is -0.25. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
0
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.30 / 1.30
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Barranquilla 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 3 / 4 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.00
handicap points
3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Tigres FC 0
@ 2.15
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.00
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.00
Price Advantage
+7.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → -0.25
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
-0.25
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
02:42
Opening
0
20:13
Last Pre-Match
0
21:59
PRE1
-0.25
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.83 / 1.83 0 1.69 / 1.99 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.70 / 2.14 0 1.78 / 2.11 — 0
Bet365 0 1.95 / 1.85 -0.25 2.02 / 2.60 — -0.25
1xBet 0 1.83 / 1.83 0 1.69 / 1.99 -0.25 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.54 8.30
-1.50 4.95 6.20
-1.25 4.50 5.70
-1.00 4.05 5.20
-0.75 2.88 3.50
-0.25 2.04 2.38
0 1.69 1.99
+0.25 1.46 1.66
+0.75 1.22 1.32
+1.00 1.10 1.17
+1.25 1.08 1.13
+1.50 1.06 1.11
+1.75 1.02 1.05

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.40 6.00
-1.25 4.00 5.75
-1.00 3.55 5.25
-0.75 2.75 3.70
-0.50 2.35 3.00
-0.25 2.02 2.60
0 1.68 2.15
+0.25 1.48 1.78
+0.50 1.38 1.58
+0.75 1.26 1.42
+1.00 1.16 1.27
+1.25 1.14 1.23
+1.50 1.12 1.20

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.55 8.30
-1.50 4.95 6.20
-1.25 4.50 5.70
-1.00 4.05 5.20
-0.75 2.88 3.50
-0.25 2.02 2.38
0 1.69 1.99
+0.25 1.46 1.64
+0.75 1.22 1.32
+1.00 1.10 1.17
+1.25 1.08 1.13
+1.50 1.06 1.11
+1.75 1.02 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.02 3.68
-0.50 2.47 2.91
-0.25 2.13 2.52
0 1.78 2.11
+0.25 1.53 1.73
+0.50 1.40 1.53
+0.75 1.27 1.38
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
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