Silkeborg vs AC Horsens Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Silkeborg
Oct 11, 2026 - 12:00
1.28 1.38
AC Horsens
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Silkeborg opened at -0.25 against AC Horsens in the Superliga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Silkeborg -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.34
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.34 AH points more toward AC Horsens than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
AC Horsens +0.25
@ 2.76
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.34
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.66
Price Advantage
+66.3%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.81 / 2.57 -0.25 1.81 / 2.57 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.89 / 2.76 -0.25 1.89 / 2.76 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.88 / 2.68 -0.25 1.88 / 2.68 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.85 / 2.57 -0.25 1.85 / 2.57 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.50 / 1.91 +0.25 1.50 / 1.91 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.82 / 2.60 -0.25 1.82 / 2.60 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.09
xG 1.28 / 1.38 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.89
Silkeborg @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.51
Silkeborg @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.89 vs 2.51
Market price is 24.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.10 8.80
-1.50 3.95 6.50
-1.25 3.50 5.95
-1.00 3.08 5.45
-0.75 2.41 3.69
-0.25 1.85 2.57
0 1.58 2.27
+0.25 1.41 1.88
+0.75 1.20 1.45
+1.00 1.08 1.28
+1.25 1.07 1.22
+1.50 1.05 1.17

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.90 6.60
-1.25 3.55 6.00
-1.00 3.30 5.75
-0.75 2.50 3.80
-0.50 2.15 3.10
-0.25 1.88 2.68
+0.25 1.45 1.92
+0.50 1.35 1.68
+0.75 1.25 1.50
+1.00 1.14 1.32
+1.25 1.12 1.27
+1.50 1.11 1.24

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.82 2.60
0 1.56 2.23
+0.25 1.42 1.85

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.20 3.05
-0.25 1.93 2.70
+0.25 1.50 1.91
+0.50 1.40 1.70

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.10 8.80
-1.50 3.95 6.50
-1.25 3.50 5.95
-1.00 3.08 5.45
-0.75 2.41 3.70
-0.25 1.81 2.57
0 1.58 2.27
+0.25 1.41 1.83
+0.75 1.20 1.45
+1.00 1.08 1.28
+1.25 1.07 1.22
+1.50 1.05 1.17

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.53 3.95
-0.50 2.16 3.13
-0.25 1.89 2.76
0 1.61 2.37
+0.25 1.46 1.96
+0.50 1.37 1.72
+0.75 1.26 1.54
Primary Bets
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