Lyngby vs Odense Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Lyngby
Final Score
1 – 1
(HT 0-0)
Odense
Kick-off 12:00 Stadium Lyngby Stadium

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Lyngby opened at -0.25 against Odense in the Superliga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 9 valid books, with 67% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.60
Lyngby -0.60

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

xG (pre-match) 1.89 / 1.25
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Lyngby -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 6 / 9 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.35
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.35 AH points more toward Lyngby than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Odense +0.25
@ 2.94
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.35
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.44
Price Advantage
+20.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 9 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
03:58
Opening
-0.25
09:16
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
10Bet 0 1.53 / 2.38 0 1.60 / 2.25 — 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.77 / 1.98 -0.25 1.75 / 2.68 — -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.83 / 2.90 -0.25 1.81 / 2.94 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.98 / 2.50 -0.25 1.80 / 2.68 — 0
1xBet 0 1.77 / 1.98 -0.25 1.79 / 2.68 — -0.25
Unibet -0.50 2.06 / 2.85 -0.50 1.98 / 2.95 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.60 / 1.80 -0.25 1.88 / 2.75 — -0.50
Superbet -0.50 2.05 / 2.92 -0.50 2.05 / 2.92 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.76 / 2.70 -0.25 1.74 / 2.70 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

10Bet Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.60 2.25

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.34 8.10
-1.50 3.48 6.20
-1.25 3.08 5.79
-1.00 2.79 5.35
-0.75 2.25 3.76
-0.25 1.79 2.68
0 1.53 2.40
+0.25 1.39 1.96
+0.75 1.19 1.53
+1.00 1.09 1.34
+1.25 1.07 1.28
+1.50 1.06 1.22
+1.75 1.02 1.14

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.70 6.25
-1.25 3.30 5.90
-1.00 3.00 5.50
-0.75 2.38 3.80
-0.50 2.08 3.10
-0.25 1.80 2.68
+0.25 1.45 2.00
+0.50 1.35 1.72
+0.75 1.25 1.55
+1.00 1.15 1.38
+1.25 1.13 1.32
+1.50 1.12 1.26

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.74 2.70
0 1.50 2.35
+0.25 1.39 1.94

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.15 3.10
-0.25 1.88 2.75
+0.25 1.47 1.95
+0.50 1.39 1.75

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 4.35 8.10
-1.50 3.48 6.20
-1.25 3.08 5.80
-1.00 2.79 5.35
-0.75 2.25 3.78
-0.25 1.75 2.68
0 1.53 2.40
+0.25 1.39 1.92
+0.75 1.20 1.53
+1.00 1.09 1.34
+1.25 1.07 1.28
+1.50 1.06 1.22
+1.75 1.02 1.14

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.38 4.12
-0.50 2.07 3.33
-0.25 1.81 2.94
0 1.56 2.55
+0.25 1.44 2.09
+0.50 1.36 1.84
+0.75 1.26 1.64

Superbet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.60 5.75
-0.50 2.05 2.92
+0.50 1.35 1.69
+1.50 1.10 1.25

Unibet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.98 2.95
+0.50 1.33 1.70
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →