Fraserburgh vs Formartine United Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Fraserburgh
Final Score
1 – 1
(HT 1-1)
Formartine United
Kick-off 19:00

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Fraserburgh opened at -0.25 against Formartine United in the Football League - Highland League. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Formartine United from the opening line. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.11
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.36 / 1.24
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Fraserburgh 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 3 / 3 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.11
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.11 AH points more toward Fraserburgh than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
16:57
Opening
-0.25
18:00
Last Pre-Match
0
18:59
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.90 / 2.33 0 1.77 / 1.89 0 +0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.83 / 1.88 0 1.83 / 1.91 0 0
1xBet -0.25 1.92 / 2.33 0 1.77 / 1.89 0 +0.25
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.80 5.25
-1.00 3.86 4.30
-0.75 2.81 3.04
-0.25 2.05 2.17
0 1.77 1.89
+0.25 1.55 1.65
+0.75 1.29 1.33
+1.00 1.15 1.18
+1.50 1.09 1.12

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.80 5.25
-1.00 3.86 4.30
-0.75 2.81 3.04
-0.25 2.03 2.17
0 1.77 1.89
+0.25 1.55 1.63
+0.75 1.29 1.33
+1.00 1.15 1.18
+1.50 1.09 1.12

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.76 2.89
-0.50 2.33 2.42
-0.25 2.09 2.17
0 1.83 1.91
+0.25 1.62 1.67
+0.50 1.49 1.52
+0.75 1.35 1.38
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing was captured at PRE1.

View Full Audit Report →
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