Georgia vs Ukraine Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Georgia
Sep 28, 2026 - 16:00 1H
0 1.95
0 1.84
Ukraine
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
0
PRE1 consensus
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 7 books · 71% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Georgia opened at 0 against Ukraine in the UEFA Nations League. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 7 valid books, with 71% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.10
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Georgia 0
Model–Market Gap
0.10
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 7 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.10 AH points more toward Georgia than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Georgia 0
@ 1.95
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.10
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.90
Price Advantage
+2.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 7 valid books · 71% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 3 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.90 / 1.92 0 1.92 / 1.91 0 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.87 / 1.97 0 1.95 / 1.95 0 0
SBO SHARP BOOK +0.25 1.66 / 1.61 +0.25 1.66 / 1.64 +0.25 0
Bet365 0 1.90 / 1.90 0 1.90 / 1.90 0 0
1xBet 0 1.90 / 1.92 0 1.94 / 1.93 0 0
Betano +0.25 1.67 / 1.65 +0.25 1.67 / 1.62 +0.25 0
BetVictor 0 1.81 / 1.86 0 1.84 / 1.82 0 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.10
xG 1.95 / 1.84 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Closing consensus
Market Odds
1.95
Georgia @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.90
Georgia @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.95 vs 1.90
Market price is 2.6% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 12.50 12.50
-2.00 12.00 11.00
-1.75 7.95 8.75
-1.50 5.80 5.75
-1.25 5.33 5.26
-1.00 4.80 4.80
-0.75 3.28 3.26
-0.25 2.33 2.25
0 1.94 1.93
+0.25 1.60 1.66
+0.75 1.29 1.30
+1.00 1.15 1.15
+1.25 1.11 1.12
+1.50 1.09 1.09
+1.75 1.03 1.03

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.75 5.75
-1.25 5.25 5.25
-1.00 4.65 4.65
-0.75 3.30 3.30
-0.50 2.68 2.68
-0.25 2.30 2.30
0 1.90 1.90
+0.25 1.60 1.60
+0.50 1.45 1.45
+0.75 1.32 1.32
+1.00 1.18 1.18
+1.25 1.16 1.16
+1.50 1.14 1.14

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.56 2.53
-0.25 2.21 2.19
0 1.84 1.82
+0.25 1.58 1.57
+0.50 1.44 1.43

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.40 3.30
-0.50 2.75 2.65
-0.25 2.35 2.27
+0.25 1.67 1.62
+0.50 1.50 1.47
+0.75 1.36 1.34

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.80 7.80
-1.50 5.80 5.75
-1.25 5.30 5.30
-1.00 4.80 4.80
-0.75 3.28 3.28
-0.25 2.25 2.25
0 1.92 1.91
+0.25 1.60 1.60
+0.75 1.30 1.30
+1.00 1.15 1.15
+1.25 1.11 1.11
+1.50 1.09 1.09
+1.75 1.03 1.03

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 5.06 5.06
-0.75 3.46 3.47
-0.50 2.77 2.78
-0.25 2.35 2.36
0 1.95 1.95
+0.25 1.64 1.64
+0.50 1.48 1.49
+0.75 1.33 1.33
+1.00 1.19 1.19

SBO Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.31 2.28
+0.25 1.66 1.64
Primary Bets
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