Meizhou Kejia vs Wuxi Wugou Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Meizhou Kejia
Oct 10, 2026 - 11:30
1.41 1.19
Wuxi Wugou
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Meizhou Kejia opened at -0.25 against Wuxi Wugou in the League One. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.20
Meizhou Kejia -0.20

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Meizhou Kejia -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.05
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.05 AH points more toward Wuxi Wugou than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Meizhou Kejia -0.25
@ 2.65
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.05
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.07
Price Advantage
+28.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.52 / 1.82 -0.25 2.52 / 1.82 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.12 / 1.71 -0.25 2.65 / 1.89 — -0.25
Bet365 -0.25 2.85 / 2.02 0 2.08 / 1.72 — +0.25
1xBet -0.25 2.53 / 1.84 -0.25 2.53 / 1.84 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.20
xG 1.41 / 1.19 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.65
Meizhou Kejia @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.07
Meizhou Kejia @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.65 vs 2.07
Market price is 28.0% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.70 7.80
-1.75 8.30 5.20
-1.50 6.25 4.05
-1.25 5.80 3.58
-1.00 5.30 3.20
-0.75 3.59 2.47
-0.25 2.53 1.84
0 2.18 1.57
+0.25 1.82 1.42
+0.75 1.44 1.21
+1.00 1.26 1.09
+1.25 1.21 1.07
+1.50 1.16 1.06

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.75 4.25
-1.25 5.25 3.90
-1.00 4.50 3.55
-0.75 3.45 2.68
-0.50 2.75 2.30
-0.25 2.42 2.02
0 2.08 1.72
+0.25 1.78 1.52
+0.50 1.60 1.42
+0.75 1.45 1.30
+1.00 1.27 1.19
+1.25 1.24 1.16
+1.50 1.21 1.14

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.30 5.20
-1.50 6.25 4.05
-1.25 5.80 3.58
-1.00 5.30 3.20
-0.75 3.58 2.46
-0.25 2.52 1.82
0 2.18 1.57
+0.25 1.80 1.41
+0.75 1.43 1.21
+1.00 1.26 1.09
+1.25 1.21 1.07
+1.50 1.16 1.06

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 3.01 2.14
-0.25 2.65 1.89
0 2.31 1.61
+0.25 1.93 1.45
+0.50 1.69 1.36
Primary Bets
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