Hebei Kungfu vs Dalian Huayi Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Hebei Kungfu
Oct 06, 2026 - 11:30
1.34 1.26
Dalian Huayi
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 5 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Hebei Kungfu opened at -0.25 against Dalian Huayi in the League One. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.07
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Hebei Kungfu -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.18
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.18 AH points more toward Dalian Huayi than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Dalian Huayi +0.25
@ 2.77
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.18
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.80
Price Advantage
+53.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.94 / 2.49 -0.25 1.86 / 2.62 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.00 / 2.66 -0.25 1.93 / 2.77 — 0
Bet365 0 1.78 / 2.02 -0.25 1.95 / 2.68 — -0.25
1xBet -0.25 1.96 / 2.51 -0.25 1.87 / 2.65 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.90 / 2.58 -0.25 1.91 / 2.57 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.07
xG 1.34 / 1.26 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.93
Hebei Kungfu @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.24
Hebei Kungfu @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.93 vs 2.24
Market price is 13.8% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.00 8.65
-1.50 4.55 7.30
-1.25 4.10 6.75
-1.00 3.58 6.15
-0.75 2.63 3.98
-0.25 1.87 2.65
0 1.56 2.21
+0.25 1.40 1.77
+0.75 1.18 1.38
+1.00 1.06 1.21
+1.25 1.04 1.16
+1.50 1.03 1.13

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.40 6.80
-1.25 3.90 6.40
-1.00 3.55 5.90
-0.75 2.68 3.90
-0.50 2.25 3.10
-0.25 1.95 2.68
0 1.62 2.25
+0.25 1.45 1.85
+0.50 1.35 1.62
+0.75 1.24 1.45
+1.00 1.13 1.27
+1.25 1.12 1.24
+1.50 1.10 1.20

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.91 2.57
0 1.60 2.15
+0.25 1.43 1.77

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.00 9.30
-1.50 4.55 7.30
-1.25 4.10 6.75
-1.00 3.58 6.15
-0.75 2.62 3.96
-0.25 1.86 2.62
0 1.56 2.21
+0.25 1.38 1.76
+0.75 1.17 1.38
+1.00 1.06 1.21
+1.25 1.04 1.16
+1.50 1.03 1.13

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.66 3.20
-0.50 2.25 3.21
-0.25 1.93 2.77
0 1.59 2.34
+0.25 1.42 1.88
+0.50 1.32 1.64
+0.75 1.30 1.45
Primary Bets
More