Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Chongqing Tongliang Long
Oct 11, 2026 - 11:35
1.70 1.92
Shandong Luneng
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Chongqing Tongliang Long opened at 0 against Shandong Luneng in the Super League. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.20
Chongqing Tongliang Long +0.20

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Chongqing Tongliang Long 0
Model–Market Gap
0.20
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.20 AH points more toward Shandong Luneng than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Shandong Luneng 0
@ 1.99
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.20
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.80
Price Advantage
+10.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.93 / 1.79 0 1.80 / 1.92 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.96 / 1.88 0 1.85 / 1.99 — 0
Bet365 0 1.90 / 1.90 0 1.82 / 1.98 — 0
1xBet 0 1.98 / 1.84 0 1.85 / 1.97 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.20 / 2.15 -0.25 2.20 / 2.15 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.81 / 1.86 0 1.79 / 1.88 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.20
xG 1.70 / 1.92 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.85
Chongqing Tongliang Long @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.26
Chongqing Tongliang Long @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.85 vs 2.26
Market price is 18.1% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.00 10.50
-2.00 8.00 9.40
-1.75 6.24 7.16
-1.50 4.75 5.20
-1.25 4.33 4.75
-1.00 3.88 4.30
-0.75 2.83 3.08
-0.25 2.17 2.19
0 1.85 1.97
+0.25 1.55 1.70
+0.75 1.28 1.33
+1.00 1.14 1.18
+1.25 1.12 1.14
+1.50 1.10 1.12
+1.75 1.04 1.06
+2.50 1.04 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.25 6.80
-1.50 4.65 5.25
-1.25 4.25 4.65
-1.00 3.80 4.25
-0.75 2.85 3.10
-0.50 2.38 2.60
-0.25 2.10 2.30
0 1.82 1.98
+0.25 1.60 1.70
+0.50 1.48 1.55
+0.75 1.35 1.40
+1.00 1.21 1.25
+1.25 1.18 1.21
+1.50 1.16 1.18
+1.75 1.10 1.12

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.39 2.52
-0.25 2.10 2.20
0 1.79 1.88
+0.25 1.57 1.63
+0.50 1.44 1.49

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.42 2.55
-0.25 2.20 2.15
+0.25 1.65 1.62
+0.50 1.47 1.53

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.20 8.20
-1.75 6.25 6.90
-1.50 4.75 5.20
-1.25 4.33 4.75
-1.00 3.88 4.30
-0.75 2.83 3.08
-0.25 2.07 2.19
0 1.80 1.92
+0.25 1.55 1.62
+0.75 1.28 1.33
+1.00 1.14 1.18
+1.25 1.12 1.14
+1.50 1.10 1.12
+1.75 1.04 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.98 4.51
-0.75 2.99 3.28
-0.50 2.50 2.69
-0.25 2.16 2.34
0 1.85 1.99
+0.25 1.60 1.69
+0.50 1.47 1.53
+0.75 1.33 1.38
+1.00 1.20 1.24
Primary Bets
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