Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Oct 09, 2026 - 12:00
1.48 1.49
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Hangzhou Greentown opened at 0 against SHANGHAI SIPG in the Super League. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.01
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Hangzhou Greentown 0
Model–Market Gap
0.01
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.01 AH points more toward SHANGHAI SIPG than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Hangzhou Greentown 0
@ 2.06
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.01
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.01
Price Advantage
+2.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.98 / 1.75 0 1.98 / 1.75 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.06 / 1.76 0 2.06 / 1.76 — 0
1xBet 0 2.04 / 1.80 0 2.04 / 1.80 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.30 / 2.00 -0.25 2.30 / 2.00 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.01
xG 1.48 / 1.49 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.06
Hangzhou Greentown @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.01
Hangzhou Greentown @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.06 vs 2.01
Market price is 2.5% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.80 8.00
-2.00 9.00 7.20
-1.75 6.10 5.04
-1.50 4.75 3.98
-1.25 4.34 3.58
-1.00 3.95 3.20
-0.75 2.97 2.56
-0.25 2.33 1.95
0 2.04 1.80
+0.25 1.70 1.62
+0.75 1.40 1.30
+1.00 1.26 1.17
+1.25 1.21 1.14
+1.50 1.17 1.12
+1.75 1.10 1.06
+2.50 1.02 1.02

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.57 2.25
-0.25 2.30 2.00
+0.25 1.75 1.57
+0.50 1.60 1.47

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.50 8.00
-2.00 9.00 7.20
-1.75 6.10 5.05
-1.50 4.75 3.98
-1.25 4.35 3.58
-1.00 3.95 3.20
-0.75 2.97 2.56
-0.25 2.21 1.95
0 1.98 1.75
+0.25 1.70 1.54
+0.75 1.40 1.30
+1.00 1.26 1.17
+1.25 1.21 1.14
+1.50 1.17 1.12
+1.75 1.10 1.06

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.65 3.36
-0.75 3.20 2.70
-0.50 2.68 2.31
-0.25 2.38 2.06
0 2.06 1.76
+0.25 1.79 1.58
+0.50 1.61 1.46
+0.75 1.47 1.34
+1.00 1.32 1.27