Londrina vs Cuiaba Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Londrina
Oct 20, 2026 - 22:30
0.87 1.22
Cuiaba
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Londrina opened at 0 against Cuiaba in the Serie B. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.30
Londrina +0.30

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Londrina 0
Model–Market Gap
0.30
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.30 AH points more toward Cuiaba than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Cuiaba 0
@ 1.93
Best Available Price · Marathonbet
Line Edge
0.30
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.60
Price Advantage
+20.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.79 / 1.93 0 1.79 / 1.93 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.84 / 2.00 0 1.91 / 1.93 — 0
Bet365 0 1.82 / 1.98 0 1.92 / 1.88 — 0
1xBet 0 1.79 / 1.93 0 1.79 / 1.93 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.55 / 2.72 -0.50 2.57 / 2.62 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.82 / 1.85 0 1.82 / 1.85 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.30
xG 0.87 / 1.22 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.91
Londrina @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.68
Londrina @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.91 vs 2.68
Market price is 28.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.50 8.40
-1.50 5.50 6.10
-1.25 4.96 5.55
-1.00 4.45 5.00
-0.75 3.04 3.28
-0.25 2.15 2.25
0 1.79 1.93
+0.25 1.52 1.64
+0.75 1.25 1.29
+1.00 1.10 1.14
+1.25 1.08 1.11
+1.50 1.06 1.08

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.75 5.75
-1.25 5.25 5.25
-1.00 4.65 4.50
-0.75 3.30 3.10
-0.50 2.60 2.60
-0.25 2.30 2.25
0 1.92 1.88
+0.25 1.62 1.60
+0.50 1.48 1.48
+0.75 1.35 1.32
+1.00 1.19 1.18
+1.25 1.16 1.16
+1.50 1.14 1.14

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.56 2.58
-0.25 2.19 2.22
0 1.82 1.85
+0.25 1.57 1.58
+0.50 1.42 1.43

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.57 2.62
+0.50 1.47 1.50

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.50 8.40
-1.50 5.50 6.10
-1.25 4.95 5.55
-1.00 4.45 5.00
-0.75 3.04 3.28
-0.25 2.10 2.25
0 1.79 1.93
+0.25 1.52 1.60
+0.75 1.25 1.29
+1.00 1.10 1.14
+1.25 1.08 1.11
+1.50 1.06 1.08

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.88 4.95
-0.75 3.37 3.40
-0.50 2.70 2.72
-0.25 2.31 2.33
0 1.91 1.93
+0.25 1.62 1.62
+0.50 1.47 1.47
+0.75 1.32 1.32
+1.00 1.18 1.18
Primary Bets
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