Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Pacific FC
Oct 11, 2026 - 23:00
2.18 1.73
Atlético Ottawa
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Pacific FC opened at -0.25 against Atlético Ottawa in the Canadian Premier League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.43
Pacific FC -0.43

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Pacific FC -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.18
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.18 AH points more toward Pacific FC than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Pacific FC -0.25
@ 2.81
Best Available Price · Marathonbet
Line Edge
0.18
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.85
Price Advantage
+51.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.88 / 1.61 -0.25 2.81 / 1.62 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.73 / 1.72 -0.25 2.70 / 1.72 — 0
Bet365 0 2.50 / 1.50 0 2.38 / 1.55 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.88 / 1.61 -0.25 2.81 / 1.62 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.43
xG 2.18 / 1.73 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.70
Pacific FC @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.85
Pacific FC @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.70 vs 1.85
Market price is 45.9% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.50 4.95
-1.50 6.35 2.97
-1.25 5.95 2.70
-1.00 5.50 2.44
-0.75 3.92 2.03
-0.25 2.81 1.62
0 2.46 1.43
+0.25 2.05 1.33
+0.75 1.63 1.18
+1.00 1.46 1.08
+1.25 1.36 1.07
+1.50 1.30 1.06

Bet365 Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-1.25 5.50 3.00
-1.00 5.00 2.68
-0.75 3.70 2.25
-0.50 3.10 1.98
0 2.38 1.55
+0.50 1.82 1.35
+0.75 1.62 1.26
+1.00 1.45 1.17
+1.25 1.38 1.15

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.35 2.97
-1.25 5.95 2.70
-1.00 5.50 2.44
-0.75 3.92 2.03
-0.25 2.81 1.62
0 2.46 1.43
+0.25 2.05 1.33
+0.75 1.63 1.18
+1.00 1.46 1.08
+1.25 1.36 1.07
+1.50 1.30 1.06

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.70 1.72
0 2.41 1.52
+0.25 2.07 1.42
Primary Bets
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