Buxoro vs Olmaliq Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Buxoro
Final Score
2 – 0
(HT 1-0)
Olmaliq
Kick-off 15:30 Stadium Buxoro FA Stadioni

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Buxoro opened at 0 against Olmaliq in the Super League. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 6 of 7 valid books, with 86% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.07
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.26 / 1.34
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Buxoro 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 6 / 7 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.07
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.07 AH points more toward Olmaliq than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
6 / 7 valid books · 86% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
02:50
Opening
0
12:08
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
10Bet 0 1.85 / 1.77 0 1.85 / 1.77 — 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.35 / 1.96 0 1.84 / 1.83 — +0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.12 / 1.71 0 1.92 / 1.90 — 0
Bet365 0 2.02 / 1.78 0 1.90 / 1.90 — 0
1xBet 0 2.06 / 1.71 0 1.87 / 1.87 — 0
Superbet -0.50 2.62 / 2.22 -0.50 2.62 / 2.22 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.99 / 1.70 0 1.84 / 1.83 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

10Bet Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.85 1.77

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.45 9.95
-1.75 6.75 6.75
-1.50 5.31 5.38
-1.25 4.72 4.67
-1.00 4.42 4.43
-0.75 3.08 3.00
-0.25 2.21 2.18
0 1.87 1.87
+0.25 1.60 1.62
+0.75 1.32 1.31
+1.00 1.17 1.17
+1.25 1.13 1.13
+1.50 1.11 1.11
+1.75 1.04 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.90 1.90

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.84 1.83

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.75 6.75
-1.50 5.10 5.10
-1.25 4.70 4.65
-1.00 4.20 4.20
-0.75 3.04 2.97
-0.25 2.14 2.14
0 1.84 1.83
+0.25 1.57 1.57
+0.75 1.30 1.29
+1.00 1.16 1.15
+1.25 1.12 1.12
+1.50 1.10 1.10
+1.75 1.04 1.04

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.06 3.04
-0.50 2.53 2.52
-0.25 2.23 2.22
0 1.92 1.90
+0.25 1.65 1.65
+0.50 1.50 1.49
+0.75 1.36 1.35

Superbet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.62 2.22
+0.50 1.51 1.37
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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