FK Liepaja vs Auda Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

FK Liepaja
Oct 12, 2026 - 15:00
1.39 1.21
Auda
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

FK Liepaja opened at 0 against Auda in the Virsliga. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.16
FK Liepaja -0.16

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
FK Liepaja 0
Model–Market Gap
0.16
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.16 AH points more toward FK Liepaja than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
FK Liepaja 0
@ 2.05
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.16
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.79
Price Advantage
+14.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.94 / 1.73 0 1.94 / 1.73 — 0
Bet365 0 2.05 / 1.75 0 2.05 / 1.75 — 0
1xBet 0 1.94 / 1.77 0 1.94 / 1.73 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.16
xG 1.39 / 1.21 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.94
FK Liepaja @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.79
FK Liepaja @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.94 vs 1.79
Market price is 8.4% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 10.00 8.60
-1.75 6.80 5.74
-1.50 5.20 4.45
-1.25 4.74 4.00
-1.00 4.30 3.58
-0.75 3.08 2.69
-0.25 2.23 1.98
0 1.94 1.73
+0.25 1.67 1.55
+0.75 1.36 1.28
+1.00 1.21 1.14
+1.25 1.17 1.12
+1.50 1.14 1.10
+1.75 1.07 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.00 5.75
-1.50 5.50 4.25
-1.25 5.00 3.80
-1.00 4.40 3.45
-0.75 3.30 2.68
-0.50 2.68 2.30
-0.25 2.38 2.02
0 2.05 1.75
+0.25 1.78 1.55
+0.50 1.60 1.45
+0.75 1.45 1.32
+1.00 1.30 1.20
+1.25 1.25 1.17
+1.50 1.21 1.15
+1.75 1.14 1.10

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.80 5.75
-1.50 5.20 4.45
-1.25 4.75 4.00
-1.00 4.30 3.58
-0.75 3.08 2.69
-0.25 2.21 1.98
0 1.94 1.73
+0.25 1.67 1.53
+0.75 1.36 1.28
+1.00 1.21 1.14
+1.25 1.17 1.12
+1.50 1.14 1.10
+1.75 1.07 1.04
Primary Bets
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