Deportes Copiapo vs Cobreloa Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Deportes Copiapo
Oct 11, 2026 - 18:00
1.37 1.23
Cobreloa
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Deportes Copiapo opened at -0.25 against Cobreloa in the Primera B. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.12
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Deportes Copiapo -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.13
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.13 AH points more toward Cobreloa than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Cobreloa +0.25
@ 2.60
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.13
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.86
Price Advantage
+39.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.80 / 2.56 -0.25 1.85 / 2.46 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.85 / 2.63 -0.25 1.93 / 2.49 — 0
Bet365 0 1.90 / 1.90 -0.25 1.98 / 2.60 — -0.25
1xBet 0 1.74 / 2.01 -0.25 1.87 / 2.46 — -0.25
Betano -0.50 2.05 / 2.77 -0.50 2.15 / 2.77 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.87 / 2.52 -0.25 1.88 / 2.50 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.12
xG 1.37 / 1.23 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.93
Deportes Copiapo @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.16
Deportes Copiapo @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.93 vs 2.16
Market price is 10.6% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.49 8.40
-1.50 4.20 6.25
-1.25 3.80 5.74
-1.00 3.34 5.25
-0.75 2.52 3.50
-0.25 1.87 2.46
0 1.61 2.11
+0.25 1.43 1.79
+0.75 1.22 1.41
+1.00 1.09 1.24
+1.25 1.07 1.19
+1.50 1.06 1.15

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.80 5.75
-1.25 3.55 5.25
-1.00 3.10 4.65
-0.75 2.50 3.55
-0.50 2.20 3.00
-0.25 1.98 2.60
0 1.65 2.20
+0.25 1.48 1.82
+0.50 1.38 1.65
+0.75 1.27 1.50
+1.00 1.18 1.35
+1.25 1.16 1.27
+1.50 1.14 1.25

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.88 2.50
0 1.61 2.14
+0.25 1.45 1.79

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.15 2.77
+0.50 1.44 1.67

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.50 8.40
-1.50 4.20 6.25
-1.25 3.80 5.75
-1.00 3.34 5.25
-0.75 2.52 3.50
-0.25 1.85 2.46
0 1.61 2.11
+0.25 1.43 1.77
+0.75 1.22 1.41
+1.00 1.09 1.24
+1.25 1.07 1.19
+1.50 1.06 1.15

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.17 2.81
-0.25 1.93 2.49
0 1.65 2.18
+0.25 1.49 1.85
+0.50 1.39 1.65
Primary Bets
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