Syrianska FC vs Farsta Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Syrianska FC
Oct 10, 2026 - 15:00
1.21 1.39
Farsta
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Syrianska FC opened at -0.25 against Farsta in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
Syrianska FC +0.16

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Syrianska FC -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.41
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.41 AH points more toward Farsta than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Syrianska FC -0.25
@ 3.10
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.41
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.66
Price Advantage
+16.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 3.05 / 1.55 -0.25 3.05 / 1.55 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 3.10 / 1.62 -0.25 3.10 / 1.62 — 0
1xBet -0.25 3.05 / 1.55 -0.25 3.05 / 1.55 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
xG 1.21 / 1.39 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
3.05
Syrianska FC @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.66
Syrianska FC @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
3.05 vs 2.66
Market price is 14.7% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 7.20 2.83
-1.00 6.30 2.29
-0.75 4.20 1.92
-0.25 3.05 1.55
0 2.70 1.36
+0.25 2.17 1.28
+0.75 1.71 1.19
+1.00 1.52 1.06
+1.50 1.33 1.03

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 7.00 3.00
-1.25 6.60 2.68
-1.00 6.00 2.35
-0.75 4.25 2.05
-0.50 3.45 1.82
-0.25 3.10 1.62
0 2.75 1.42
+0.25 2.25 1.35
+0.50 1.98 1.30
+0.75 1.75 1.21
+1.00 1.58 1.12
+1.25 1.45 1.11
+1.50 1.38 1.10

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 7.20 2.83
-1.00 6.30 2.29
-0.25 3.05 1.55
0 2.70 1.36
+0.25 2.17 1.28
+1.00 1.52 1.06
+1.50 1.33 1.03
Primary Bets
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