Gyeongnam FC vs Asan Mugunghwa Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Gyeongnam FC
Oct 17, 2026 - 07:30
1.21 1.39
Asan Mugunghwa
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
2 / 4 books · 50% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Gyeongnam FC opened at -0.25 against Asan Mugunghwa in the K League 2. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 2 of 4 valid books, with 50% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
Gyeongnam FC +0.16

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Gyeongnam FC -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.41
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 2 / 4 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.41 AH points more toward Asan Mugunghwa than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Asan Mugunghwa +0.25
@ 2.06
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.41
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.60
Price Advantage
+28.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
2 / 4 valid books · 50% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.33 / 1.92 -0.25 2.33 / 1.92 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.11 / 1.72 0 2.11 / 1.72 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.35 / 1.93 -0.25 2.35 / 1.93 — 0
Betano -0.50 2.75 / 2.35 -0.50 2.75 / 2.35 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
xG 1.21 / 1.39 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.33
Gyeongnam FC @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.66
Gyeongnam FC @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.33 vs 2.66
Market price is 12.4% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.20 5.50
-1.50 5.50 4.30
-1.25 5.11 3.90
-1.00 4.65 3.50
-0.75 3.30 2.63
-0.25 2.35 1.93
0 2.02 1.67
+0.25 1.72 1.50
+0.75 1.38 1.26
+1.00 1.22 1.12
+1.25 1.18 1.10
+1.50 1.15 1.08
+1.75 1.08 1.03

Betano Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.75 2.35
+0.50 1.57 1.44

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.20 5.50
-1.50 5.50 4.30
-1.25 5.10 3.90
-1.00 4.65 3.50
-0.75 3.28 2.62
-0.25 2.33 1.92
0 2.02 1.67
+0.25 1.71 1.48
+0.75 1.38 1.25
+1.00 1.22 1.12
+1.25 1.18 1.10
+1.50 1.15 1.08
+1.75 1.08 1.03

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.70 3.87
-0.75 3.64 2.88
-0.50 2.91 2.39
-0.25 2.51 2.06
0 2.11 1.72
+0.25 1.76 1.52
+0.50 1.57 1.40
+0.75 1.41 1.27
+1.00 1.25 1.18
Primary Bets
More