Gimhae City vs Asan Mugunghwa Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Gimhae City
Oct 10, 2026 - 07:30
1.27 1.33
Asan Mugunghwa
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Gimhae City opened at -0.25 against Asan Mugunghwa in the K League 2. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Gimhae City -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.30
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.30 AH points more toward Asan Mugunghwa than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Gimhae City -0.25
@ 2.91
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.30
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.45
Price Advantage
+18.8%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.83 / 1.68 -0.25 2.83 / 1.68 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.91 / 1.79 -0.25 2.91 / 1.79 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.84 / 1.69 -0.25 2.84 / 1.69 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.80 / 1.82 -0.25 2.80 / 1.82 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.05
xG 1.27 / 1.33 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.91
Gimhae City @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.45
Gimhae City @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.91 vs 2.45
Market price is 18.8% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.60 4.86
-1.50 7.90 3.74
-1.25 7.30 3.30
-1.00 6.75 2.88
-0.75 4.30 2.26
-0.25 2.84 1.69
0 2.49 1.44
+0.25 1.97 1.33
+0.75 1.53 1.15
+1.00 1.32 1.04
+1.25 1.26 1.03
+1.50 1.19 1.02

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.80 1.82
+0.25 1.95 1.42

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 9.10 4.85
-1.50 7.90 3.74
-1.25 7.30 3.28
-1.00 6.75 2.88
-0.75 4.30 2.24
-0.25 2.83 1.68
0 2.49 1.44
+0.25 1.96 1.33
+0.75 1.52 1.15
+1.00 1.32 1.04
+1.25 1.25 1.03
+1.50 1.19 1.02

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 4.26 2.39
-0.50 3.30 2.04
-0.25 2.91 1.79
0 2.50 1.53
+0.25 2.02 1.40
+0.50 1.76 1.32
+0.75 1.56 1.22
Primary Bets
More