Cheongju vs Seongnam FC Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Cheongju
Final Score
3 – 1
(HT 1-0)
Seongnam FC
Kick-off 07:30 Stadium Cheongju Stadion

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Cheongju opened at 0 against Seongnam FC in the K League 2. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.38
Cheongju +0.38

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

xG (pre-match) 1.09 / 1.51
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Cheongju 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.38
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.38 AH points more toward Seongnam FC than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Seongnam FC 0
@ 1.89
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.38
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.58
Price Advantage
+19.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
03:00
Opening
0
06:01
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.85 / 1.81 0 1.85 / 1.81 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.93 / 1.88 0 1.96 / 1.89 — 0
Bet365 0 1.95 / 1.85 0 1.92 / 1.88 — 0
1xBet 0 1.85 / 1.81 0 1.85 / 1.81 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.62 / 1.65 +0.25 1.65 / 1.62 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.87 / 1.80 0 1.88 / 1.79 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.90 10.00
-1.75 7.50 7.20
-1.50 5.55 5.35
-1.25 5.05 4.86
-1.00 4.55 4.33
-0.75 3.09 3.05
-0.25 2.18 2.14
0 1.85 1.81
+0.25 1.60 1.56
+0.75 1.30 1.28
+1.00 1.14 1.13
+1.25 1.11 1.10
+1.50 1.09 1.08
+1.75 1.03 1.03

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.50 5.50
-1.25 4.80 4.80
-1.00 4.40 4.40
-0.75 3.10 3.10
-0.50 2.60 2.60
-0.25 2.25 2.25
0 1.92 1.88
+0.25 1.62 1.62
+0.50 1.48 1.48
+0.75 1.35 1.35
+1.00 1.20 1.20
+1.25 1.18 1.18
+1.50 1.15 1.15

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.59 2.47
-0.25 2.23 2.13
0 1.88 1.79
+0.25 1.61 1.56
+0.50 1.46 1.42

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.47 2.75
-0.25 2.27 2.18
+0.25 1.65 1.62
+0.50 1.44 1.53

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.50 7.20
-1.50 5.55 5.35
-1.25 5.05 4.85
-1.00 4.55 4.33
-0.75 3.08 3.04
-0.25 2.17 2.12
0 1.85 1.81
+0.25 1.58 1.55
+0.75 1.29 1.28
+1.00 1.14 1.13
+1.25 1.11 1.10
+1.50 1.09 1.08
+1.75 1.03 1.03

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.96 4.70
-0.75 3.42 3.27
-0.50 2.74 2.64
-0.25 2.35 2.27
0 1.96 1.89
+0.25 1.66 1.62
+0.50 1.50 1.47
+0.75 1.35 1.32
+1.00 1.20 1.19
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

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