Seattle Reign FC W vs North Carolina Courage W Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Seattle Reign FC W
Oct 03, 2026 - 02:00
1.98 2.04
North Carolina Courage W
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
+0.25
Toward Away · Opening → Current

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Seattle Reign FC W opened at -0.25 against North Carolina Courage W in the NWSL Women. The current market consensus is 0. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward North Carolina Courage W from the opening line. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.06
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Seattle Reign FC W 0
Model–Market Gap
0.06
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.06 AH points more toward North Carolina Courage W than the current market.

Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.26 / 1.92 0 1.83 / 1.83 — +0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.07 / 1.72 0 1.89 / 1.89 — 0
Bet365 0 1.98 / 1.82 0 1.98 / 1.82 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.28 / 1.92 0 1.83 / 1.83 — +0.25
BetVictor -0.25 2.06 / 1.75 -0.25 1.92 / 1.88 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.06
xG 1.98 / 2.04 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.89
Seattle Reign FC W @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.06
Seattle Reign FC W @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.89 vs 2.06
Market price is 8.3% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.50 9.50
-2.00 8.60 8.50
-1.50 4.65 4.60
-1.25 4.19 4.20
-1.00 3.84 3.80
-0.75 2.83 2.83
-0.25 2.10 2.08
0 1.83 1.83
+0.25 1.60 1.62
+0.75 1.33 1.33
+1.00 1.19 1.18
+1.25 1.15 1.15
+1.50 1.13 1.12

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.90 5.50
-1.50 4.50 4.25
-1.25 4.25 3.90
-1.00 3.80 3.55
-0.75 3.00 2.75
-0.50 2.50 2.38
-0.25 2.25 2.10
0 1.98 1.82
+0.25 1.70 1.62
+0.50 1.55 1.50
+0.75 1.42 1.38
+1.00 1.27 1.25
+1.25 1.24 1.21
+1.50 1.21 1.19
+1.75 1.15 1.13

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.13 2.10
-0.25 1.92 1.88
0 1.68 1.65
+0.25 1.50 1.47
+0.50 1.38 1.37

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.60 8.50
-1.50 4.65 4.60
-1.25 4.20 4.20
-1.00 3.84 3.80
-0.75 2.83 2.83
-0.25 2.08 2.08
0 1.83 1.83
+0.25 1.60 1.60
+0.75 1.33 1.33
+1.00 1.19 1.18
+1.25 1.15 1.15
+1.50 1.13 1.12

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.97 2.97
-0.50 2.47 2.48
-0.25 2.19 2.19
0 1.89 1.89
+0.25 1.64 1.64
+0.50 1.49 1.49
+0.75 1.35 1.35
Primary Bets
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