Karlberg vs Vasalund Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Karlberg
Oct 10, 2026 - 11:00
1.20 1.40
Vasalund
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 5 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Karlberg opened at 0 against Vasalund in the Ettan - Norra. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.18
Karlberg +0.18

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Karlberg 0
Model–Market Gap
0.18
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.18 AH points more toward Vasalund than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Vasalund 0
@ 1.83
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.18
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.77
Price Advantage
+3.4%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.79 / 1.87 0 1.87 / 1.79 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.95 / 1.83 0 1.95 / 1.83 — 0
Bet365 0 1.85 / 1.95 0 1.98 / 1.82 — 0
1xBet 0 1.72 / 2.00 0 1.87 / 1.79 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.89 / 1.78 0 1.89 / 1.78 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.18
xG 1.20 / 1.40 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.95
Karlberg @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.29
Karlberg @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.95 vs 2.29
Market price is 14.8% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.10 9.20
-2.00 8.10 9.30
-1.75 6.55 6.10
-1.50 5.00 4.70
-1.25 4.60 4.25
-1.00 4.15 3.82
-0.75 2.97 2.83
-0.25 2.17 2.06
0 1.87 1.79
+0.25 1.62 1.58
+0.75 1.33 1.30
+1.00 1.19 1.16
+1.25 1.15 1.13
+1.50 1.12 1.10
+1.75 1.06 1.05
+2.50 1.02 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.60 5.90
-1.50 5.00 4.50
-1.25 4.50 4.10
-1.00 4.10 3.70
-0.75 3.10 2.85
-0.50 2.50 2.38
-0.25 2.25 2.10
0 1.98 1.82
+0.25 1.70 1.62
+0.50 1.55 1.50
+0.75 1.40 1.35
+1.00 1.26 1.23
+1.25 1.23 1.19
+1.50 1.19 1.17
+1.75 1.13 1.11

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.20 2.08
0 1.89 1.78
+0.25 1.64 1.57

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.00 9.00
-2.00 9.10 9.30
-1.75 6.55 6.10
-1.50 5.00 4.70
-1.25 4.60 4.25
-1.00 4.15 3.82
-0.75 2.97 2.83
-0.25 2.15 2.06
0 1.87 1.79
+0.25 1.62 1.56
+0.75 1.33 1.30
+1.00 1.19 1.16
+1.25 1.15 1.13
+1.50 1.12 1.10
+1.75 1.06 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.06 2.84
-0.50 2.55 2.39
-0.25 2.26 2.12
0 1.95 1.83
+0.25 1.68 1.61
+0.50 1.52 1.47
+0.75 1.38 1.34
Primary Bets
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