Assyriska FF vs FBK Karlstad Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Assyriska FF
Oct 11, 2026 - 14:00
1.34 1.26
FBK Karlstad
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Assyriska FF opened at 0 against FBK Karlstad in the Ettan - Norra. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.07
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Assyriska FF 0
Model–Market Gap
0.07
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.07 AH points more toward Assyriska FF than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Assyriska FF 0
@ 1.98
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.07
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.90
Price Advantage
+4.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.83 / 1.82 0 1.83 / 1.82 — 0
Bet365 0 1.98 / 1.82 0 1.98 / 1.82 — 0
1xBet 0 1.83 / 1.82 0 1.83 / 1.82 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.07
xG 1.34 / 1.26 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.83
Assyriska FF @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.90
Assyriska FF @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.83 vs 1.90
Market price is 3.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.00 8.90
-2.00 8.30 8.10
-1.75 5.70 5.59
-1.50 4.50 4.40
-1.25 4.10 4.00
-1.00 3.72 3.58
-0.75 2.81 2.74
-0.25 2.10 2.07
0 1.83 1.82
+0.25 1.61 1.62
+0.75 1.35 1.33
+1.00 1.21 1.20
+1.25 1.17 1.16
+1.50 1.14 1.13
+1.75 1.08 1.08

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.00 5.75
-1.50 4.65 4.25
-1.25 4.25 3.90
-1.00 3.90 3.55
-0.75 3.00 2.75
-0.50 2.50 2.38
-0.25 2.25 2.10
0 1.98 1.82
+0.25 1.70 1.62
+0.50 1.55 1.50
+0.75 1.42 1.38
+1.00 1.27 1.24
+1.25 1.24 1.21
+1.50 1.21 1.18
+1.75 1.14 1.12

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.00 8.90
-2.00 8.30 8.10
-1.75 5.70 5.60
-1.50 4.50 4.40
-1.25 4.10 4.00
-1.00 3.72 3.58
-0.75 2.81 2.74
-0.25 2.08 2.07
0 1.83 1.82
+0.25 1.61 1.60
+0.75 1.35 1.33
+1.00 1.21 1.20
+1.25 1.17 1.16
+1.50 1.14 1.13
+1.75 1.08 1.08
Primary Bets
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