Utsikten vs Angelholms FF Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Utsikten
Oct 11, 2026 - 11:00
1.33 1.27
Angelholms FF
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Utsikten opened at -0.25 against Angelholms FF in the Ettan - Södra. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Utsikten -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.20
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.20 AH points more toward Angelholms FF than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Utsikten -0.25
@ 2.50
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.20
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.27
Price Advantage
+10.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.97 / 1.57 -0.25 2.46 / 1.79 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.50 / 1.89 -0.25 2.48 / 1.90 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 3.10 / 1.62 -0.25 2.50 / 1.85 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.97 / 1.57 -0.25 2.46 / 1.79 — 0
BetVictor 0 2.18 / 1.58 0 2.19 / 1.58 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.05
xG 1.33 / 1.27 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.48
Utsikten @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.27
Utsikten @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.48 vs 2.27
Market price is 9.3% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 9.70 6.25
-1.50 5.45 3.58
-1.25 5.09 3.20
-1.00 4.70 2.92
-0.75 3.34 2.32
-0.25 2.46 1.79
0 2.15 1.56
+0.25 1.83 1.43
+0.75 1.51 1.24
+1.00 1.33 1.12
+1.25 1.26 1.10
+1.50 1.21 1.08

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.75 3.70
-1.00 4.65 3.10
-0.75 3.45 2.42
-0.50 2.85 2.10
-0.25 2.50 1.85
0 2.20 1.65
+0.25 1.95 1.50
+0.50 1.70 1.40
+0.75 1.52 1.30
+1.00 1.35 1.18
+1.50 1.26 1.14

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 2.19 1.58

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.45 3.58
-1.25 5.10 3.20
-1.00 4.70 2.92
-0.75 3.34 2.30
-0.25 2.46 1.79
0 2.15 1.56
+0.25 1.83 1.43
+0.75 1.49 1.24
+1.00 1.33 1.12
+1.25 1.26 1.10
+1.50 1.21 1.08

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.79 2.13
-0.25 2.48 1.90
0 2.19 1.64
+0.25 1.88 1.49
+0.50 1.68 1.40
Primary Bets
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