Atvidabergs FF vs Lund Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Atvidabergs FF
Final Score
1 – 0
(HT 0-0)
Lund
Kick-off 14:00 Stadium Kopparvallen

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Atvidabergs FF opened at 0 against Lund in the Ettan - Södra. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 5 valid books, with 60% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.07
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.34 / 1.26
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Atvidabergs FF 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 3 / 5 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.07
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.07 AH points more toward Atvidabergs FF than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
WAIT

No positive price advantage at the valid market line.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 5 valid books · 60% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
02:30
Opening
0
12:26
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.89 / 2.33 -0.25 1.90 / 2.30 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.70 / 2.09 0 1.72 / 2.11 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.98 / 2.42 0 1.70 / 2.10 — +0.25
1xBet 0 1.63 / 2.09 -0.25 1.92 / 2.30 — -0.25
BetVictor 0 1.65 / 2.07 0 1.66 / 2.05 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 7.20 9.60
-1.75 5.04 6.92
-1.50 3.98 5.15
-1.25 3.58 4.75
-1.00 3.20 4.40
-0.75 2.52 3.14
-0.25 1.92 2.30
0 1.67 2.03
+0.25 1.49 1.75
+0.75 1.27 1.41
+1.00 1.14 1.26
+1.25 1.12 1.21
+1.50 1.10 1.17
+1.75 1.05 1.10

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.25 7.00
-1.50 3.90 5.50
-1.25 3.55 5.00
-1.00 3.30 4.40
-0.75 2.50 3.30
-0.50 2.20 2.68
-0.25 2.00 2.38
0 1.70 2.10
+0.25 1.55 1.80
+0.50 1.45 1.65
+0.75 1.32 1.50
+1.00 1.20 1.32
+1.25 1.17 1.27
+1.50 1.15 1.24
+1.75 1.10 1.16

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.66 2.05

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.05 6.60
-1.50 3.98 5.15
-1.25 3.58 4.75
-1.00 3.20 4.40
-0.75 2.52 3.14
-0.25 1.90 2.30
0 1.67 2.03
+0.25 1.49 1.73
+0.75 1.27 1.41
+1.00 1.14 1.26
+1.25 1.12 1.21
+1.50 1.10 1.17
+1.75 1.05 1.10

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.27 2.74
-0.25 2.01 2.42
0 1.72 2.11
+0.25 1.53 1.81
+0.50 1.43 1.62
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

No primary bet was issued pre-match. Decision was WAIT. Closing data was not captured.

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