JIPPO vs Haka Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Oct 17, 2026 - 13:00
1.41 1.19
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
-0.25
Toward Home · Opening → Current

Asian Handicap Market Summary

JIPPO opened at 0 against Haka in the Ykkösliiga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward JIPPO from the opening line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.20
JIPPO -0.20

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
JIPPO -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.05
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.05 AH points more toward Haka than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
JIPPO -0.25
@ 2.55
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.05
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.07
Price Advantage
+23.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.95 / 1.72 -0.25 2.35 / 1.91 — -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.09 / 1.73 -0.25 2.55 / 1.97 — -0.25
Bet365 -0.25 2.42 / 2.00 -0.25 2.42 / 2.00 — 0
1xBet 0 1.95 / 1.72 -0.25 2.37 / 1.91 — -0.25
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.20
xG 1.41 / 1.19 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.55
JIPPO @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.07
JIPPO @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.55 vs 2.07
Market price is 23.2% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.60 8.70
-2.00 9.50 8.10
-1.75 7.29 5.45
-1.50 5.60 4.25
-1.25 5.19 3.86
-1.00 4.75 3.42
-0.75 3.28 2.59
-0.25 2.37 1.91
0 2.03 1.66
+0.25 1.72 1.48
+0.75 1.39 1.25
+1.00 1.23 1.12
+1.25 1.18 1.10
+1.50 1.15 1.08
+1.75 1.08 1.03

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.00 4.40
-1.25 5.75 4.00
-1.00 5.25 3.55
-0.75 3.45 2.68
-0.50 2.85 2.25
-0.25 2.42 2.00
+0.25 1.80 1.52
+0.50 1.62 1.40
+0.75 1.45 1.30
+1.00 1.27 1.16
+1.25 1.23 1.14
+1.50 1.20 1.12

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.30 5.45
-1.50 5.60 4.25
-1.25 5.20 3.86
-1.00 4.75 3.42
-0.75 3.28 2.59
-0.25 2.35 1.91
0 2.03 1.66
+0.25 1.72 1.47
+0.75 1.39 1.25
+1.00 1.23 1.12
+1.25 1.18 1.10
+1.50 1.15 1.08
+1.75 1.08 1.03

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.25 3.92 3.99
-1.00 4.77 3.55
-0.75 3.63 2.69
-0.50 2.91 2.26
-0.25 2.55 1.97
0 2.18 1.67
+0.25 1.83 1.50
+0.50 1.63 1.39
+0.75 1.45 1.27
+1.00 1.28 1.18
+1.25 1.23 1.23