PK-35 vs Kooteepee Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

PK-35
Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00
1.24 1.36
Kooteepee
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

PK-35 opened at -0.25 against Kooteepee in the Ykkösliiga. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.11
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
PK-35 -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.36
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.36 AH points more toward Kooteepee than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Kooteepee +0.25
@ 1.92
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.36
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.64
Price Advantage
+17.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.43 / 1.83 -0.25 2.46 / 1.81 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.59 / 1.93 -0.25 2.62 / 1.92 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.46 / 1.83 -0.25 2.49 / 1.81 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.11
xG 1.24 / 1.36 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.62
PK-35 @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.55
PK-35 @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.62 vs 2.55
Market price is 2.7% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 10.50 7.60
-2.00 10.00 6.90
-1.75 7.30 4.84
-1.50 5.70 3.82
-1.25 5.29 3.42
-1.00 4.85 3.08
-0.75 3.42 2.43
-0.25 2.49 1.81
0 2.15 1.59
+0.25 1.81 1.44
+0.75 1.46 1.23
+1.00 1.28 1.11
+1.25 1.23 1.09
+1.50 1.18 1.08
+1.75 1.11 1.03

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.30 4.85
-1.50 5.70 3.82
-1.25 5.30 3.42
-1.00 4.85 3.08
-0.75 3.42 2.41
-0.25 2.46 1.81
0 2.15 1.59
+0.25 1.81 1.43
+0.75 1.45 1.23
+1.00 1.28 1.11
+1.25 1.23 1.09
+1.50 1.18 1.08
+1.75 1.11 1.03

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.69 2.58
-0.50 2.97 2.18
-0.25 2.62 1.92
0 2.25 1.63
+0.25 1.88 1.48
+0.50 1.67 1.38
+0.75 1.49 1.26
Primary Bets
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