General Lamadrid vs Sportivo Barracas Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

General Lamadrid
Oct 12, 2026 - 18:00
1.24 1.36
Sportivo Barracas
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

General Lamadrid opened at 0 against Sportivo Barracas in the Primera C. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.11
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
General Lamadrid 0
Model–Market Gap
0.11
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.11 AH points more toward Sportivo Barracas than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Sportivo Barracas 0
@ 2.00
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.11
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.86
Price Advantage
+7.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.77 / 1.89 0 1.77 / 1.89 — 0
Bet365 0 1.80 / 2.00 0 1.80 / 2.00 — 0
1xBet 0 1.77 / 1.89 0 1.77 / 1.89 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.61 / 1.73 0 1.61 / 1.73 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.11
xG 1.24 / 1.36 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.77
General Lamadrid @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.17
General Lamadrid @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.77 vs 2.17
Market price is 18.4% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.85 6.50
-1.25 5.29 5.26
-1.00 4.70 5.30
-0.75 3.14 3.42
-0.25 2.14 2.28
0 1.77 1.89
+0.25 1.50 1.60
+0.75 1.23 1.27
+1.00 1.09 1.12
+1.25 1.09 1.09
+1.50 1.05 1.07

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.75 6.40
-1.25 5.25 5.90
-1.00 4.50 5.50
-0.75 3.30 3.55
-0.50 2.60 2.85
-0.25 2.20 2.38
0 1.80 2.00
+0.25 1.55 1.65
+0.50 1.40 1.48
+0.75 1.27 1.32
+1.00 1.15 1.19
+1.25 1.13 1.16
+1.50 1.12 1.14

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.61 1.73

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.85 6.50
-1.00 4.70 5.30
-0.75 3.14 3.42
-0.25 2.12 2.28
0 1.77 1.89
+0.25 1.50 1.58
+0.75 1.23 1.27
+1.00 1.09 1.12
+1.50 1.05 1.07
Primary Bets
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