Argentino Quilmes vs Flandria Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Argentino Quilmes
Oct 17, 2026 - 18:00
1.25 1.35
Flandria
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 4 books · 75% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Argentino Quilmes opened at 0 against Flandria in the Primera B Metropolitana. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Argentino Quilmes 0
Model–Market Gap
0.09
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.09 AH points more toward Flandria than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Flandria 0
@ 2.08
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.09
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.88
Price Advantage
+10.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.68 / 2.00 0 1.68 / 2.00 — 0
Bet365 0 1.72 / 2.08 0 1.72 / 2.08 — 0
1xBet 0 1.68 / 2.00 0 1.68 / 2.00 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.85 / 2.13 -0.25 1.85 / 2.13 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.09
xG 1.25 / 1.35 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.68
Argentino Quilmes @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.14
Argentino Quilmes @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.68 vs 2.14
Market price is 21.5% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.80 7.50
-1.25 5.25 6.80
-1.00 4.65 6.15
-0.75 3.04 3.76
-0.25 2.05 2.43
0 1.68 2.00
+0.25 1.44 1.65
+0.75 1.19 1.29
+1.00 1.06 1.12
+1.25 1.04 1.09
+1.50 1.03 1.07

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.25 5.25 6.60
-1.00 4.50 6.00
-0.75 3.10 3.90
-0.50 2.50 3.00
-0.25 2.15 2.50
0 1.72 2.08
+0.25 1.50 1.68
+0.50 1.38 1.50
+0.75 1.24 1.35
+1.00 1.12 1.19
+1.25 1.11 1.16

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.56 2.96
-0.50 2.13 2.42
-0.25 1.85 2.13
0 1.55 1.80
+0.25 1.37 1.52
+0.50 1.27 1.37
+0.75 1.16 1.24

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.10 9.10
-1.50 5.80 7.50
-1.25 5.25 6.80
-1.00 4.65 6.15
-0.75 3.04 3.76
-0.25 2.03 2.43
0 1.68 2.00
+0.25 1.44 1.63
+0.75 1.19 1.29
+1.00 1.06 1.12
+1.25 1.04 1.09
+1.50 1.03 1.07
Primary Bets
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