Talleres Remedios vs Deportivo Camioneros Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Talleres Remedios
Final Score
1 – 1
(HT 0-0)
Deportivo Camioneros
Kick-off 23:00 Stadium Estadio de Talleres de Remedios de Escalada

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Talleres Remedios opened at -0.25 against Deportivo Camioneros in the Primera B Metropolitana. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 3 of 4 valid books, with 75% agreement.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.32 / 1.28
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Talleres Remedios -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 3 / 4 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.21
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.21 AH points more toward Deportivo Camioneros than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Deportivo Camioneros +0.25
@ 3.00
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.21
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.77
Price Advantage
+69.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
3 / 4 valid books · 75% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
02:20
Opening
-0.25
20:13
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.67 / 3.04 -0.25 1.73 / 2.88 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.80 / 3.00 -0.25 1.80 / 3.00 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.68 / 3.04 -0.25 1.74 / 2.88 — 0
BetVictor -0.50 1.82 / 2.78 -0.50 1.63 / 2.78 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.10 8.30
-1.25 3.58 7.70
-1.00 3.14 7.10
-0.75 2.38 4.40
-0.25 1.74 2.88
0 1.46 2.44
+0.25 1.32 1.92
+0.75 1.14 1.46
+1.00 1.04 1.27
+1.25 1.03 1.21
+1.50 1.02 1.16

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.42 4.50
-0.50 1.90 3.45
-0.25 1.80 3.00
0 1.50 2.50
+0.25 1.38 2.00
+0.50 1.30 1.90
+0.75 1.19 1.52

BetVictor Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 1.63 2.78
-0.25 1.43 2.93
0 1.23 2.58
+0.25 1.16 2.00
+0.50 1.19 1.71

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.10 8.30
-1.25 3.58 7.70
-1.00 3.14 7.10
-0.75 2.38 4.40
-0.25 1.73 2.88
0 1.46 2.44
+0.25 1.32 1.90
+0.75 1.14 1.46
+1.00 1.04 1.27
+1.25 1.02 1.21
+1.50 1.02 1.16
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
More