Sportivo Italiano vs Talleres Remedios Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Sportivo Italiano
Oct 04, 2026 - 18:00
1.36 1.24
Talleres Remedios
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Sportivo Italiano opened at 0 against Talleres Remedios in the Primera B Metropolitana. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.11
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Sportivo Italiano 0
Model–Market Gap
0.11
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.11 AH points more toward Sportivo Italiano than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Sportivo Italiano 0
@ 1.98
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.11
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.86
Price Advantage
+6.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.90 / 1.76 0 1.89 / 1.77 — 0
Bet365 0 1.98 / 1.82 0 1.98 / 1.82 — 0
1xBet 0 1.90 / 1.80 0 1.89 / 1.77 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.11
xG 1.36 / 1.24 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.89
Sportivo Italiano @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.86
Sportivo Italiano @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.89 vs 1.86
Market price is 1.6% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 7.00 6.30
-1.25 6.35 5.69
-1.00 5.70 5.05
-0.75 3.50 3.20
-0.25 2.30 2.14
0 1.89 1.77
+0.25 1.57 1.52
+0.75 1.26 1.22
+1.00 1.10 1.08
+1.25 1.08 1.06
+1.50 1.06 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.60 6.00
-1.25 6.00 5.75
-1.00 5.50 5.00
-0.75 3.55 3.30
-0.50 2.75 2.60
-0.25 2.38 2.25
0 1.98 1.82
+0.25 1.62 1.55
+0.50 1.48 1.42
+0.75 1.32 1.27
+1.00 1.17 1.15
+1.25 1.14 1.12
+1.50 1.12 1.11

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 7.00 6.30
-1.25 6.35 5.70
-1.00 5.70 5.05
-0.75 3.50 3.20
-0.25 2.28 2.14
0 1.89 1.77
+0.25 1.57 1.50
+0.75 1.26 1.22
+1.00 1.10 1.08
+1.25 1.08 1.06
+1.50 1.06 1.04
Primary Bets
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