Dock Sud vs Deportivo Armenio Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Dock Sud
Oct 03, 2026 - 20:00
1.21 1.39
Deportivo Armenio
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
3 / 3 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Dock Sud opened at 0 against Deportivo Armenio in the Primera B Metropolitana. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 3 of 3 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
Dock Sud +0.16

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Dock Sud 0
Model–Market Gap
0.16
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 3 / 3 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.16 AH points more toward Deportivo Armenio than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Deportivo Armenio 0
@ 1.90
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.16
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.79
Price Advantage
+6.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
3 / 3 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.83 / 1.82 0 1.83 / 1.82 — 0
Bet365 0 1.90 / 1.90 0 1.90 / 1.90 — 0
1xBet 0 1.83 / 1.82 0 1.83 / 1.82 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.16
xG 1.21 / 1.39 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.83
Dock Sud @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.26
Dock Sud @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.83 vs 2.26
Market price is 19.0% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.60 7.40
-1.50 5.75 5.65
-1.25 5.25 5.15
-1.00 4.75 4.65
-0.75 3.20 3.14
-0.25 2.19 2.15
0 1.83 1.82
+0.25 1.56 1.56
+0.75 1.27 1.26
+1.00 1.12 1.12
+1.25 1.10 1.09
+1.50 1.08 1.07
+1.75 1.03 1.03

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.90 5.90
-1.25 5.50 5.50
-1.00 4.80 4.80
-0.75 3.30 3.30
-0.50 2.68 2.68
-0.25 2.30 2.30
0 1.90 1.90
+0.25 1.60 1.60
+0.50 1.45 1.45
+0.75 1.32 1.32
+1.00 1.18 1.18
+1.25 1.15 1.15
+1.50 1.13 1.13

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.60 7.40
-1.50 5.75 5.65
-1.25 5.25 5.15
-1.00 4.75 4.65
-0.75 3.20 3.14
-0.25 2.17 2.15
0 1.83 1.82
+0.25 1.56 1.55
+0.75 1.27 1.26
+1.00 1.12 1.12
+1.25 1.10 1.09
+1.50 1.08 1.07
+1.75 1.03 1.03
Primary Bets
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