Racing Cordoba vs Los Andes Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Racing Cordoba
Oct 12, 2026 - 20:00
1.37 1.23
Los Andes
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 5 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Racing Cordoba opened at -0.25 against Los Andes in the Primera Nacional. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.12
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Racing Cordoba -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.13
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.13 AH points more toward Los Andes than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Los Andes +0.25
@ 2.95
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.13
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.86
Price Advantage
+58.6%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.83 / 2.78 -0.25 1.83 / 2.78 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.95 / 2.95 -0.25 1.95 / 2.95 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.98 / 2.85 -0.25 1.95 / 2.85 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.85 / 2.78 -0.25 1.85 / 2.78 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.98 / 2.80 -0.25 1.98 / 2.80 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.12
xG 1.37 / 1.23 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.95
Racing Cordoba @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.16
Racing Cordoba @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.95 vs 2.16
Market price is 9.7% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.65 8.70
-1.50 4.95 8.60
-1.25 4.40 8.05
-1.00 3.86 7.40
-0.75 2.66 4.39
-0.25 1.85 2.78
0 1.52 2.29
+0.25 1.34 1.81
+0.75 1.14 1.37
+1.00 1.03 1.18
+1.25 1.02 1.14

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.25 6.80
-1.25 4.50 7.00
-1.00 4.10 6.25
-0.75 2.85 4.50
-0.50 2.30 3.45
-0.25 1.95 2.85
0 1.58 2.35
+0.25 1.40 1.85
+0.50 1.30 1.60
+0.75 1.19 1.40
+1.00 1.12 1.23
+1.25 1.10 1.19
+1.50 1.10 1.16

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.98 2.80
+0.25 1.40 1.78

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.65 8.70
-1.50 4.95 8.60
-1.25 4.40 8.10
-1.00 3.86 7.40
-0.75 2.66 4.40
-0.25 1.83 2.78
0 1.52 2.29
+0.25 1.34 1.79
+0.75 1.14 1.37
+1.00 1.03 1.18
+1.25 1.02 1.14

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.87 4.65
-0.50 2.31 3.47
-0.25 1.95 2.95
0 1.56 2.40
+0.25 1.39 1.85
+0.50 1.29 1.60
+0.75 1.18 1.41
Primary Bets
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