Racing Cordoba vs Godoy Cruz Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Racing Cordoba
Final Score
2 – 2
(HT 0-1)
Godoy Cruz
Kick-off 20:00 Stadium Estadio Miguel Sancho

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Racing Cordoba opened at 0 against Godoy Cruz in the Primera Nacional. The current market consensus is -0.25, the same as the closing line. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Racing Cordoba from the opening line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.28 / 1.32
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Racing Cordoba -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.29
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.29 AH points more toward Godoy Cruz than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Racing Cordoba -0.25
@ 2.97
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.29
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.42
Price Advantage
+22.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → -0.25
Pinnacle Closing
-0.25
Consensus Closing
-0.25
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
20:03
Opening
0
18:00
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
19:59
PRE1
-0.25
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.85 / 1.81 -0.25 2.74 / 1.84 -0.25 -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.93 / 1.87 -0.25 2.97 / 1.94 -0.25 -0.25
Bet365 0 1.85 / 1.95 -0.25 2.85 / 1.90 -0.25 -0.25
1xBet 0 1.85 / 1.81 -0.25 2.77 / 1.84 -0.25 -0.25
Betano +0.25 1.57 / 1.57 -0.25 2.77 / 1.93 -0.25 -0.50
BetVictor 0 2.01 / 1.69 -0.25 2.82 / 1.86 -0.25 -0.25
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 8.65 7.02
-1.50 8.60 4.90
-1.25 7.90 4.35
-1.00 7.30 3.80
-0.75 4.33 2.66
-0.25 2.77 1.84
0 2.27 1.53
+0.25 1.78 1.36
+0.75 1.37 1.14
+1.00 1.19 1.03
+1.25 1.14 1.02

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.60 5.25
-1.25 7.00 4.50
-1.00 7.00 4.10
-0.75 4.40 2.85
-0.50 3.45 2.35
-0.25 2.85 1.90
0 2.30 1.60
+0.25 1.90 1.40
+0.50 1.58 1.30
+0.75 1.40 1.20
+1.00 1.23 1.10
+1.25 1.19 1.10
+1.50 1.16 1.11

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.92 2.19
-0.25 2.82 1.86
0 2.31 1.52
+0.25 1.81 1.36
+0.50 1.58 1.34

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.92 2.27
-0.25 2.77 1.93
+0.25 1.82 1.42
+0.50 1.60 1.37

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 9.00 6.60
-1.50 8.60 4.90
-1.25 7.90 4.35
-1.00 7.30 3.80
-0.75 4.33 2.66
-0.25 2.74 1.84
0 2.27 1.53
+0.25 1.78 1.35
+0.75 1.37 1.14
+1.00 1.19 1.03
+1.25 1.14 1.02

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.00 6.73 4.12
-0.75 4.60 2.84
-0.50 3.48 2.30
-0.25 2.97 1.94
0 2.44 1.58
+0.25 1.91 1.41
+0.50 1.65 1.31
+0.75 1.44 1.20
+1.00 1.24 1.12
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

View Full Audit Report →
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