Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS FC Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Ostersunds FK
Oct 10, 2026 - 13:00
1.57 1.91
Varbergs BoIS FC
Opening
-0.25
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
-0.25
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
5 / 5 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Ostersunds FK opened at -0.25 against Varbergs BoIS FC in the Superettan. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.32
Ostersunds FK +0.32

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Ostersunds FK -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.57
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 5 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.57 AH points more toward Varbergs BoIS FC than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Varbergs BoIS FC +0.25
@ 2.90
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.57
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.56
Price Advantage
+85.9%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 1.75 / 2.73 -0.25 1.75 / 2.73 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 1.85 / 2.90 -0.25 1.85 / 2.90 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.85 / 2.75 -0.25 1.85 / 2.75 — 0
1xBet -0.25 1.79 / 2.73 -0.25 1.79 / 2.73 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.80 / 2.77 -0.25 1.82 / 2.75 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.32
xG 1.57 / 1.91 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.85
Ostersunds FK @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.78
Ostersunds FK @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.85 vs 2.78
Market price is 33.5% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.90 7.10
-1.25 3.50 6.60
-1.00 3.05 6.10
-0.75 2.35 3.98
-0.25 1.79 2.73
0 1.52 2.38
+0.25 1.36 1.93
+0.75 1.17 1.47
+1.00 1.06 1.28
+1.25 1.05 1.22
+1.50 1.04 1.18

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 4.10 7.00
-1.25 3.55 6.60
-1.00 3.30 6.00
-0.75 2.50 4.00
-0.50 2.10 3.10
-0.25 1.85 2.75
0 1.58 2.35
+0.25 1.42 1.95
+0.50 1.35 1.70
+0.75 1.23 1.50
+1.00 1.12 1.32
+1.25 1.11 1.27
+1.50 1.10 1.23

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.82 2.75
+0.25 1.42 1.93

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.90 7.10
-1.25 3.50 6.60
-1.00 3.05 6.10
-0.75 2.35 3.98
-0.25 1.75 2.73
0 1.52 2.38
+0.25 1.36 1.89
+0.75 1.17 1.47
+1.00 1.06 1.28
+1.25 1.05 1.22
+1.50 1.04 1.18

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.55 4.30
-0.50 2.15 3.34
-0.25 1.85 2.90
0 1.55 2.44
+0.25 1.41 1.95
+0.50 1.32 1.69
+0.75 1.21 1.51
Primary Bets
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