IK brage vs Helsingborg Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

IK brage
Oct 11, 2026 - 15:00
1.65 1.83
Helsingborg
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 6 books · 67% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

IK brage opened at 0 against Helsingborg in the Superettan. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 6 valid books, with 67% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.17
IK brage +0.17

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
IK brage 0
Model–Market Gap
0.17
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 6 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.17 AH points more toward Helsingborg than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Helsingborg 0
@ 2.07
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.17
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.83
Price Advantage
+13.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 6 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.74 / 1.99 0 1.74 / 1.99 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.76 / 2.04 0 1.74 / 2.07 — 0
Bet365 0 1.75 / 2.05 0 1.75 / 2.05 — 0
1xBet 0 1.74 / 1.99 0 1.74 / 1.99 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.00 / 2.32 -0.25 2.00 / 2.32 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 1.97 / 2.36 -0.25 1.96 / 2.36 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.17
xG 1.65 / 1.83 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.74
IK brage @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.21
IK brage @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.74 vs 2.21
Market price is 21.3% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 7.80 9.50
-1.75 5.40 6.69
-1.50 4.25 5.00
-1.25 3.85 4.64
-1.00 3.42 4.25
-0.75 2.62 3.08
-0.25 2.00 2.23
0 1.74 1.99
+0.25 1.53 1.73
+0.75 1.28 1.38
+1.00 1.15 1.23
+1.25 1.12 1.18
+1.50 1.10 1.15
+1.75 1.06 1.09

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.75 7.00
-1.50 4.40 5.50
-1.25 4.00 5.00
-1.00 3.55 4.40
-0.75 2.75 3.30
-0.50 2.35 2.68
-0.25 2.02 2.35
0 1.75 2.05
+0.25 1.58 1.78
+0.50 1.45 1.58
+0.75 1.32 1.42
+1.00 1.20 1.27
+1.25 1.17 1.23
+1.50 1.15 1.20
+1.75 1.10 1.14

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 1.96 2.36
0 1.68 2.02
+0.25 1.50 1.72

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.27 2.62
-0.25 2.00 2.32
+0.25 1.57 1.75
+0.50 1.45 1.60

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.40 6.45
-1.50 4.25 5.00
-1.25 3.85 4.65
-1.00 3.42 4.25
-0.75 2.62 3.08
-0.25 1.96 2.23
0 1.74 1.99
+0.25 1.53 1.69
+0.75 1.28 1.38
+1.00 1.15 1.23
+1.25 1.12 1.18
+1.50 1.10 1.15
+1.75 1.05 1.09

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.71 3.32
-0.50 2.28 2.69
-0.25 2.02 2.39
0 1.74 2.07
+0.25 1.56 1.79
+0.50 1.45 1.62
+0.75 1.32 1.45
Primary Bets
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