Strommen vs Sandnes ULF Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Strommen
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:30
1.48 1.12
Sandnes ULF
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
5 / 6 books · 83% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Strommen opened at 0 against Sandnes ULF in the 1. Division. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 6 valid books, with 83% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.32
Strommen -0.32

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Strommen 0
Model–Market Gap
0.32
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 5 / 6 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.32 AH points more toward Strommen than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Strommen 0
@ 1.80
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.32
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.63
Price Advantage
+10.4%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 6 valid books · 83% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.74 / 1.99 0 1.74 / 1.99 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.78 / 2.04 0 1.78 / 2.04 — 0
Bet365 -0.25 1.88 / 2.68 0 1.80 / 2.00 — +0.25
1xBet 0 1.74 / 1.99 0 1.74 / 1.99 — 0
Betano -0.25 1.91 / 2.47 -0.25 2.05 / 2.30 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.73 / 1.95 0 1.73 / 1.95 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.32
xG 1.48 / 1.12 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.78
Strommen @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.63
Strommen @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.78 vs 1.63
Market price is 9.2% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 7.90 9.40
-2.00 7.30 9.00
-1.75 5.15 6.20
-1.50 4.10 4.90
-1.25 3.72 4.50
-1.00 3.34 4.15
-0.75 2.59 3.06
-0.25 2.00 2.25
0 1.74 1.99
+0.25 1.52 1.73
+0.75 1.29 1.39
+1.00 1.16 1.24
+1.25 1.13 1.20
+1.50 1.11 1.16
+1.75 1.06 1.10
+2.50 1.02 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 5.90 6.60
-1.50 4.40 5.25
-1.25 4.10 4.50
-1.00 3.70 4.15
-0.75 2.85 3.10
-0.50 2.38 2.60
-0.25 2.10 2.30
0 1.80 2.00
+0.25 1.60 1.70
+0.50 1.48 1.55
+0.75 1.35 1.40
+1.00 1.22 1.26
+1.25 1.19 1.23
+1.50 1.16 1.20
+1.75 1.11 1.13

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.28 2.56
-0.25 2.01 2.26
0 1.73 1.95
+0.25 1.54 1.69
+0.50 1.43 1.53

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.30 2.57
-0.25 2.05 2.30
+0.25 1.57 1.72
+0.50 1.47 1.57

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 7.30 9.00
-1.75 5.15 6.20
-1.50 4.10 4.90
-1.25 3.72 4.50
-1.00 3.34 4.15
-0.75 2.59 3.05
-0.25 1.96 2.25
0 1.74 1.99
+0.25 1.52 1.69
+0.75 1.28 1.39
+1.00 1.16 1.24
+1.25 1.13 1.20
+1.50 1.11 1.16
+1.75 1.06 1.10

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.61 4.38
-0.75 2.79 3.27
-0.50 2.35 2.70
-0.25 2.06 2.37
0 1.78 2.04
+0.25 1.58 1.75
+0.50 1.46 1.58
+0.75 1.33 1.43
+1.00 1.21 1.28
Primary Bets
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