Sandnes ULF vs Ranheim Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Sandnes ULF
Final Score
1 – 1
(HT 1-0)
Ranheim
Kick-off 14:00

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Sandnes ULF opened at 0 against Ranheim in the 1. Division. The current market consensus is -0.25, the same as the closing line. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Sandnes ULF from the opening line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 7 valid books, with 57% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
+0.34
Sandnes ULF +0.34

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

xG (pre-match) 1.11 / 1.49
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Sandnes ULF -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 4 / 7 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.59
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.59 AH points more toward Ranheim than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Ranheim +0.25
@ 2.46
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.59
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.48
Price Advantage
+66.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 7 valid books · 57% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → -0.25
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
-0.25
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
02:14
Opening
0
12:18
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
14:00
PRE1
-0.25
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.76 / 1.98 -0.25 1.89 / 2.33 -0.25 -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.81 / 2.01 0 1.74 / 2.14 0 0
Bet365 0 1.75 / 2.05 0 1.70 / 2.10 0 0
1xBet 0 1.76 / 1.98 -0.25 1.93 / 2.33 -0.25 -0.25
Unibet -0.50 2.02 / 2.70 -0.50 2.15 / 2.50 — 0
Betano -0.25 2.02 / 2.25 -0.25 2.12 / 2.15 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.74 / 1.94 -0.25 1.90 / 2.32 -0.25 -0.25
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 6.80 9.20
-2.00 6.15 8.60
-1.75 4.50 6.04
-1.50 3.58 4.75
-1.25 3.28 4.40
-1.00 2.97 4.05
-0.75 2.45 3.11
-0.25 1.93 2.33
0 1.69 2.08
+0.25 1.50 1.80
+0.75 1.27 1.44
+1.00 1.16 1.30
+1.25 1.14 1.25
+1.50 1.12 1.21
+1.75 1.06 1.13

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 3.70 4.65
-1.25 3.45 4.40
-1.00 3.10 4.00
-0.75 2.50 3.10
-0.25 1.98 2.38
0 1.70 2.10
+0.25 1.55 1.82
+0.75 1.35 1.50
+1.00 1.23 1.35
+1.25 1.20 1.30
+1.50 1.18 1.26

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.13 2.41
-0.25 1.90 2.32
0 1.67 2.04
+0.25 1.52 1.78
+0.50 1.48 1.61

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.37 2.40
-0.25 2.12 2.15
+0.25 1.65 1.67
+0.50 1.53 1.55

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 6.80 9.20
-2.00 6.15 8.60
-1.75 4.50 6.05
-1.50 3.58 4.75
-1.25 3.28 4.40
-1.00 2.97 4.05
-0.75 2.45 3.12
-0.25 1.89 2.33
0 1.69 2.08
+0.25 1.50 1.76
+0.75 1.28 1.44
+1.00 1.16 1.30
+1.25 1.14 1.25
+1.50 1.12 1.21
+1.75 1.06 1.13

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 3.23 3.72
-0.75 2.61 3.32
-0.50 2.26 2.77
-0.25 2.00 2.46
0 1.74 2.14
+0.25 1.57 1.85
+0.50 1.45 1.67
+0.75 1.34 1.51
+1.00 1.28 1.35

Unibet Main -0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.15 2.50
+0.50 1.45 1.60
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

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