Brommapojkarna W vs Piteå W Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Brommapojkarna W
Final Score
1 – 1
(HT 0-1)
Piteå W
Kick-off 12:00 Stadium Grimsta IP

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Brommapojkarna W opened at 0 against Piteå W in the Damallsvenskan. The current market consensus is 0, the same as the closing line. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 6 valid books, with 67% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 2.58 / 2.53
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Brommapojkarna W 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 4 / 6 books · Moderate
Model–Market Gap
0.05
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.05 AH points more toward Brommapojkarna W than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Brommapojkarna W 0
@ 2.14
Best Available Price · Marathonbet
Line Edge
0.05
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.96
Price Advantage
+9.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 6 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → 0
Pinnacle Closing
0
Consensus Closing
0
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
02:12
Opening
0
08:11
Last Pre-Match
0
11:59
PRE1
0
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
10Bet 0 1.93 / 1.73 0 1.93 / 1.73 0 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.77 / 1.91 -0.25 2.43 / 1.83 -0.25 -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.06 / 1.72 0 2.06 / 1.73 0 0
Bet365 0 1.88 / 1.92 0 2.10 / 1.70 0 0
1xBet 0 1.78 / 1.92 -0.25 2.39 / 1.88 -0.25 -0.25
BetVictor 0 1.79 / 1.88 0 1.97 / 1.72 0 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

10Bet Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.93 1.73

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.40 7.60
-1.50 5.55 4.05
-1.25 4.61 3.58
-1.00 4.70 3.28
-0.75 3.28 2.49
-0.25 2.39 1.88
0 2.07 1.65
+0.25 1.75 1.49
+0.75 1.42 1.25
+1.00 1.25 1.12
+1.25 1.21 1.13
+1.50 1.16 1.08
+2.00 1.03 1.03

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.80 5.75
-1.50 5.25 4.40
-1.25 4.65 3.90
-1.00 4.25 3.55
-0.75 3.30 2.75
-0.50 2.60 2.35
-0.25 2.35 2.05
0 2.10 1.70
+0.25 1.75 1.58
+0.50 1.58 1.48
+0.75 1.42 1.32
+1.00 1.27 1.21
+1.25 1.24 1.18
+1.50 1.20 1.16
+1.75 1.14 1.10

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.97 1.72

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.30 8.10
-2.00 9.20 7.30
-1.50 5.75 3.92
-1.25 4.25 3.50
-1.00 4.90 3.14
-0.75 3.42 2.43
-0.25 2.43 1.83
0 2.14 1.61
+0.25 1.79 1.44
+0.75 1.44 1.23
+1.00 1.27 1.11
+1.25 1.22 1.15
+1.50 1.18 1.07

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.71 2.31
-0.25 2.38 2.04
0 2.06 1.73
+0.25 1.76 1.53
+0.50 1.58 1.42
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing was captured at PRE1.

View Full Audit Report →
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