Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Sarpsborg 08 FF
Oct 18, 2026 - 12:30
1.68 1.88
Rosenborg
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Sarpsborg 08 FF opened at 0 against Rosenborg in the Eliteserien. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.19
Sarpsborg 08 FF +0.19

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the away team.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Sarpsborg 08 FF 0
Model–Market Gap
0.19
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.19 AH points more toward Rosenborg than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Rosenborg 0
@ 1.90
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.19
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.81
Price Advantage
+5.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.89 / 1.83 0 1.89 / 1.83 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.97 / 1.88 0 1.95 / 1.90 — 0
Bet365 0 1.90 / 1.90 0 1.90 / 1.90 — 0
1xBet 0 1.94 / 1.88 0 1.94 / 1.88 — 0
Betano +0.50 1.57 / 1.50 +0.50 1.55 / 1.52 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.19
xG 1.68 / 1.88 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.95
Sarpsborg 08 FF @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.23
Sarpsborg 08 FF @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.95 vs 2.23
Market price is 12.6% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.50 8.80 9.00
-2.00 8.70 8.30
-1.75 5.95 5.69
-1.50 4.65 4.45
-1.25 4.24 4.05
-1.00 3.85 3.68
-0.75 2.88 2.79
-0.25 2.23 2.07
0 1.94 1.88
+0.25 1.63 1.67
+0.75 1.34 1.32
+1.00 1.20 1.18
+1.25 1.16 1.15
+1.50 1.14 1.12
+1.75 1.08 1.07

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.25 5.75
-1.50 4.65 4.40
-1.25 4.40 4.00
-1.00 3.90 3.55
-0.75 3.00 2.75
-0.50 2.50 2.38
-0.25 2.25 2.10
0 1.90 1.90
+0.25 1.70 1.62
+0.50 1.55 1.50
+0.75 1.42 1.38
+1.00 1.27 1.24
+1.25 1.23 1.20
+1.50 1.20 1.18
+1.75 1.14 1.12

Betano Main +0.50

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.50 2.40
+0.50 1.55 1.52

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-2.00 8.70 8.30
-1.75 5.95 5.70
-1.50 4.65 4.45
-1.25 4.25 4.05
-1.00 3.85 3.68
-0.75 2.88 2.79
-0.25 2.13 2.07
0 1.89 1.83
+0.25 1.63 1.59
+0.75 1.34 1.32
+1.00 1.20 1.18
+1.25 1.16 1.15
+1.50 1.14 1.12
+1.75 1.08 1.07

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.00 4.16 3.86
-0.75 3.08 2.96
-0.50 2.56 2.50
-0.25 2.25 2.20
0 1.95 1.90
+0.25 1.70 1.67
+0.50 1.55 1.53
+0.75 1.41 1.38
+1.00 1.27 1.24
Primary Bets
More