Brann vs Viking Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Brann
Final Score
0 – 2
(HT 0-2)
Viking
Kick-off 17:00 Stadium Brann Stadion

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Brann opened at -0.25 against Viking in the Eliteserien. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 6 of 6 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.08
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.43 / 1.34
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Brann -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 6 / 6 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.17
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.17 AH points more toward Viking than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Brann -0.25
@ 3.13
Best Available Price · 1xBet
Line Edge
0.17
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.22
Price Advantage
+41.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
6 / 6 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
03:00
Opening
-0.25
16:05
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.34 / 1.89 -0.25 2.99 / 1.58 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.16 / 1.72 -0.25 3.10 / 1.71 — -0.25
Bet365 -0.25 2.42 / 1.95 -0.25 3.10 / 1.65 — 0
1xBet 0 2.14 / 1.72 -0.25 3.13 / 1.63 — -0.25
Betano -0.25 2.42 / 1.93 -0.25 2.42 / 1.93 — 0
BetVictor -0.25 2.37 / 1.89 -0.25 2.62 / 1.59 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.50 9.40 5.85
-2.00 10.50 5.10
-1.75 8.60 3.76
-1.50 6.55 3.05
-1.25 6.10 2.74
-1.00 5.70 2.43
-0.75 3.98 2.04
-0.25 3.13 1.63
0 2.64 1.50
+0.25 2.07 1.37
+0.75 1.63 1.17
+1.00 1.44 1.08
+1.25 1.35 1.06
+1.50 1.28 1.05
+2.50 1.07 1.02

Bet365 Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.80 3.55
-1.50 6.80 3.00
-1.25 6.40 2.68
-1.00 5.90 2.38
-0.75 4.25 2.08
-0.50 3.45 1.85
-0.25 3.10 1.65
0 2.68 1.45
+0.25 2.20 1.35
+0.50 1.95 1.30
+0.75 1.72 1.21
+1.00 1.55 1.13
+1.25 1.45 1.12
+1.50 1.38 1.10
+1.75 1.27 1.10

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.62 1.59
0 2.65 1.40
+0.25 2.16 1.41

Betano Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.42 1.93
+0.25 1.85 1.55

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 9.20 3.50
-1.50 7.00 2.88
-1.25 6.55 2.59
-1.00 6.05 2.30
-0.75 4.25 1.95
-0.25 2.99 1.58
0 2.70 1.42
+0.25 2.15 1.31
+0.75 1.69 1.15
+1.00 1.49 1.06
+1.25 1.39 1.05
+1.50 1.32 1.04

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.90 2.17
-0.50 3.47 1.93
-0.25 3.10 1.71
0 2.73 1.50
+0.25 2.23 1.40
+0.50 1.95 1.33
+0.75 1.74 1.27
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

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